Marketanalysor
0x554e20bac5e9c3d68221aaed1b0abb3f0925b670
- Realised P&L
- $-148.75
- Volume
- $71.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,318
- Open portfolio
- $46.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,318
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.37at 0.253Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 31?
- +$39.00at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 9?
- +$37.97at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 29?
- +$35.56at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 6?
- +$35.01at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.0671890606 | $3.39 |
| 08-04 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 11:04 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.09 |
| 08-04 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.60 |
| 08-04 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.92 |
| 08-04 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 08-04 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0300666667 | $1.80 |
| 08-04 10:58 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 10:53 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.14 |
| 08-04 10:53 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.21 |
| 08-04 10:53 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.21 |
| 08-04 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.21 |
| 08-04 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.21 |
| 08-04 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.21 |
| 08-04 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.21 |