PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Marketanalysor

0x554e20bac5e9c3d68221aaed1b0abb3f0925b670

Realised P&L
$-213.89
Volume
$260.1k
Markets traded
5,991
Open portfolio
$119.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,991
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 19? · No0.9480.945$10.21$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9? · Yes0.3701.000$10.00+$6.30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 19? · No0.8600.835$8.35$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 19? · No0.6550.660$7.33+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 19? · Yes0.0910.465$5.54+$4.46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 19? · No0.9940.994$4.97$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 19? · No0.9800.975$4.88$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 19? · No0.9800.975$4.88$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 19? · No0.9400.970$4.85+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 19? · No0.8290.805$4.72$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.0910.995$4.69+$4.26
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 19? · No0.9300.925$4.63$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 19? · No0.6580.690$4.56+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 19? · No0.9100.905$4.53$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19? · No0.8500.805$4.03$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 20:06Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.94$4.69
09-18 20:06Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.84$4.20
09-18 20:06Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.994$4.97
09-18 20:06Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.67$3.35
09-18 20:06Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.85$4.25
09-18 20:01Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.88$4.40
09-18 19:21Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.91$4.55
09-18 19:21Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.65$0.19
09-18 19:21Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.98$4.90
09-18 19:21Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.93$4.65
09-18 19:21Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.98$4.90
09-18 18:41Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.92$4.60
09-18 18:41Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.98$4.90
09-18 18:41Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.65$3.25
09-18 18:41Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.98$4.90