PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-04
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
Rewards
100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.23. up 0.07 over the period, from 0.16. Range 0.08 to 0.29. 54 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.291515
0.30520
0.311535
0.321145
0.361661
0.37566
0.4645111
0.4820131
0.5057188
0.526195
0.547201
0.567208

Spread0.12Mid0.23

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.171414
0.161024
0.15529
0.14938
0.133169
0.112695
0.0727122
0.0620142
0.0313155
0.025160
0.0138198

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.831414
0.841024
0.85529
0.86938
0.873169
0.892695
0.9327122
0.9420142
0.9713155
0.985160
0.9938198

Spread0.12Mid0.77

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.711515
0.70520
0.691535
0.681145
0.641661
0.63566
0.5445111
0.5220131
0.5057188
0.486195
0.467201
0.447208

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
BilberryYes1,000.74
0x9506…1c4fYes325.89
VibeTraderYes275
Bindi-BetsYes168.55
tradetosurvive1Yes168.3
dingdingdangdangYes141.31
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes109.14
0x15d033660D14A3BF9c4C3eB450c57C5806be1284-1777974766053Yes100
241532532432Yes49.27
pppnnYes40
psysloYes38.08
wwwoooeeeYes32.45
darksoul238Yes32.11
0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408Yes30
Thewaterman8Yes30
sergiovrnYes28.23
arsenal85Yes25.68
TermostatingYes25
1PercentBetterT2Yes23.36
dinolooserYes20.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:35:17BUYNo0.76315520$15.26
17:01:26BUYNo0.75206679636$4.74
16:53:37BUYYes0.2818$5.13
16:53:37BUYYes0.299$2.48
16:30:02BUYNo0.7513$10.00
16:16:19BUYYes0.285$1.40
16:01:17BUYYes0.285$1.40
15:25:26BUYNo0.7524$18.00
15:00:31BUYYes0.2850847410$2.90
14:39:32BUYYes0.311390059932$10.00
14:37:55BUYYes0.26100$26.00
13:25:49BUYNo0.765$3.80
13:13:25BUYYes0.286666666730$8.60
13:11:22BUYYes0.26999997844$1.00
13:11:22BUYYes0.26999997844$1.00
13:11:22BUYYes0.26999997847$2.00
13:11:22BUYYes0.26999997844$1.00
13:10:35BUYYes0.28999998843$1.00
13:10:34BUYYes0.28999995784$1.10
13:10:32BUYYes0.28006165255$1.44
13:10:32BUYYes0.255$1.15
13:10:32BUYYes0.2535$8.85
12:35:47BUYNo0.76999987062$1.25
12:35:47BUYNo0.775$3.85
12:32:55BUYNo0.75194$145.53