sergiovrn
0xaaf7827a575d9a622eed86768d136d6b7bc5443b
- Realised P&L
- $-315.43
- Volume
- $38.1k
- Markets traded
- 565
- Open portfolio
- $66.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded565
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$440.66at 0.033Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$118.91at 0.240Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$58.48at 0.324Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
- +$35.15at 0.564Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev
- +$24.32at 0.527Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.1254324631 | $4.42 |
| 10-02 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.63 |
| 10-02 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.66 |
| 10-02 03:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.60 |
| 10-02 03:12 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.67 |
| 10-02 03:12 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.68 |
| 10-02 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.2963887107 | $4.62 |
| 10-02 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.229 | $4.55 |
| 10-02 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.51 |
| 10-02 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.1560606061 | $3.86 |
| 10-02 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 2? | BUY | 0.155278073 | $4.38 |
| 10-02 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.57 |
| 10-02 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.27 |
| 10-01 21:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.60 |
| 10-01 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.62 |