PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

sergiovrn

0xaaf7827a575d9a622eed86768d136d6b7bc5443b

Realised P&L
$-315.43
Volume
$38.1k
Markets traded
565
Open portfolio
$66.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded565
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 3? · Yes0.1600.390$10.41+$6.14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 3? · Yes0.1250.276$9.71+$5.29
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 3? · Yes0.2930.270$8.56−$0.73
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 3? · Yes0.2200.425$8.53+$4.11
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 3? · Yes0.2200.355$7.43+$2.83
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 3? · Yes0.2050.265$5.55+$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 3? · Yes0.2200.265$5.55+$0.94
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on October 3? · Yes0.2300.265$5.32+$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 100-101°F on October 3? · Yes0.2000.079$1.80−$2.78
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 3? · Yes0.2800.105$1.75−$2.91
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 3? · Yes0.2200.070$1.47−$3.14
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 3? · Yes0.1550.011$0.31−$3.83
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 2? · Yes0.2900.003$0.05−$4.62
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 2? · Yes0.1550.001$0.01−$4.37
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 2? · Yes0.1900.001$0.01−$4.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 06:10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 3?BUY0.1254324631$4.42
10-02 03:49Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 2?BUY0.25$4.63
10-02 03:42Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 3?BUY0.28$4.66
10-02 03:39Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 3?BUY0.22$4.60
10-02 03:12Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 3?BUY0.29$4.67
10-02 03:12Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 2?BUY0.3$4.68
10-02 03:08Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 3?BUY0.2963887107$4.62
10-02 02:15Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 2?BUY0.229$4.55
10-02 02:03Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 2?BUY0.18$3.51
10-02 02:03Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 2?BUY0.1560606061$3.86
10-02 01:10Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 2?BUY0.155278073$4.38
10-02 01:00Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 2?BUY0.19$4.57
10-02 00:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 3?BUY0.16$4.27
10-01 21:19Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 2?BUY0.22$4.60
10-01 21:02Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on October 3?BUY0.23$4.62