dingdingdangdang
0xf8dc8cd0fd55eccb5409ed99ed90a86bc7f0f31f
- Realised P&L
- $-19.5k
- Volume
- $5.14M
- Markets traded
- 16,686
- Open portfolio
- $493.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16,686
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.224Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?
- +$2.4kat 0.172Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?
- +$1.9kat 0.297Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 1?
- +$1.8kat 0.461Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 29?
- +$1.6kat 0.165Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:13 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.4903846154 | $5.10 |
| 11-01 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.0289999997 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 23:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.1670278808 | $3.40 |
| 11-01 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.42 |
| 11-01 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.33 |
| 11-01 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.07 |
| 11-01 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.02751632 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.28 |
| 11-01 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on November 1? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.08 |
| 11-01 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.0141832338 | $0.55 |
| 11-01 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.0169999998 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.0147885963 | $0.78 |
| 11-01 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.96 |
| 11-01 22:51 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.27 |