PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dingdingdangdang

0xf8dc8cd0fd55eccb5409ed99ed90a86bc7f0f31f

Realised P&L
$-19.5k
Volume
$5.14M
Markets traded
16,686
Open portfolio
$493.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16,686
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 1? · No0.8561.000$60.75+$8.75
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 1? · Yes0.6650.994$60.07+$19.87
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 1? · No0.6201.000$44.67+$16.95
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on November 1? · No0.6560.675$33.75+$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 2? · Yes0.3030.515$25.87+$10.66
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on November 1? · No0.6451.000$20.15+$7.15
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 1? · Yes0.7800.991$19.82+$4.22
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3450.070$19.25−$75.53
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 2? · No0.5060.470$14.29−$1.11
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 1? · No0.5850.088$11.56−$64.80
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 2? · Yes0.4800.510$10.20+$0.60
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat? · No0.4300.225$10.13−$9.23
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 1? · Yes0.5210.994$10.11+$4.81
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on November 1? · No0.6101.000$9.99+$3.90
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 1? · Yes0.3501.000$9.99+$6.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:13Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 2?BUY0.4903846154$5.10
11-01 23:04Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 1?BUY0.0289999997$1.00
11-01 23:04Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on November 1?BUY0.1670278808$3.40
11-01 23:00Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on November 3?BUY0.005$0.42
11-01 23:00Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on November 3?BUY0.021$0.33
11-01 23:00Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 3?BUY0.006$0.07
11-01 23:00Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 3?BUY0.3$3.00
11-01 22:56Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 1?BUY0.02751632$1.00
11-01 22:56Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 1?BUY0.014$0.28
11-01 22:56Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on November 1?BUY0.003$0.08
11-01 22:56Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 1?BUY0.0141832338$0.55
11-01 22:56Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 1?BUY0.0169999998$1.00
11-01 22:52Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 1?BUY0.0147885963$0.78
11-01 22:52Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 1?BUY0.016$0.96
11-01 22:51Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on November 1?BUY0.009$0.27