Thewaterman8
0x89e129ba2d6466a957957d5848cf39fe4576c6f3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $69.9k
- Markets traded
- 704
- Open portfolio
- $43.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded704
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$207.42at 0.052Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 8?
- +$109.54at 0.452Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 21?
- +$101.53at 0.502Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 25?
- +$82.73at 0.112Will MrBeast's next video get between 77.5 and 78.0 million views on day 6?
- +$69.97at 0.300Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:48 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 11-02 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.46 | $9.20 |
| 11-02 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 11-01 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.43 | $5.16 |
| 11-01 02:27 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.36 | $9.00 |
| 10-31 20:46 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.10375 | $2.07 |
| 10-31 02:43 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 10-31 02:41 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.40494 | $4.05 |
| 10-31 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $45.24 |
| 10-30 00:24 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.62 |
| 10-30 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.12 |
| 10-30 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 30? | BUY | 0.6690479718 | $36.12 |
| 10-29 01:25 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 29? | BUY | 0.69 | $27.60 |
| 10-29 01:24 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 29? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 01:23 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |