0x15d033660D14A3BF9c4C3eB450c57C5806be1284-1777974766053
0x15d033660d14a3bf9c4c3eb450c57c5806be1284
- Realised P&L
- $-692.84
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $27.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$159.62at 0.467Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 6?
- +$95.33at 0.646Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 6?
- +$87.26at 0.373Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 6?
- +$34.24at 0.788Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 6?
- +$28.89at 0.709Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 10-04 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.28 | $3.36 |
| 10-04 14:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $42.96 |
| 10-04 09:07 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 10-04 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 10-04 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.73 | $19.70 |
| 10-04 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.71 |
| 10-04 07:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 10-04 07:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 07:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 07:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 10-04 07:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 10-04 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.67 | $4.63 |
| 10-04 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |