darksoul238
0x3f2d0a8861d94864027790d5e861f544ae5b7bc6
- Realised P&L
- $-101.86
- Volume
- $75.0k
- Markets traded
- 200
- Open portfolio
- $111.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded200
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.57at 0.666Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$2.40at 0.304LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$1.11at 0.821Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$1.04at 0.885Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
- +$0.33at 0.753LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:07 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.8799999956 | $8.00 |
| 09-16 16:57 | LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - LFL Promotion Playoffs | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 12:00 | W35 Shenyang: Meng Yi Chen vs Tahlia Kokkinis | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 11:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:08 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:07 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0659999963 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 17:00 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8329999942 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 16:59 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 16:59 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 16:59 | Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 16:59 | Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.008775351 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 16:59 | Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0086116161 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 16:59 | Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0060691186 | $1.00 |