PolyBot

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Traders

darksoul238

0x3f2d0a8861d94864027790d5e861f544ae5b7bc6

Realised P&L
$-101.86
Volume
$75.0k
Markets traded
200
Open portfolio
$111.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded200
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0010.005$3.67+$2.67
Will Bogdan Guskov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0020.008$3.65+$2.65
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in July 2027 (ET)? · Yes0.0040.010$2.80+$1.80
Will Khalil Rountree Jr. be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.008$2.80+$1.80
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.009$2.75+$1.75
Will Jan Błachowicz be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0020.006$2.54+$1.54
Will Jamahal Hill be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.006$1.98+$0.98
Will Nikita Krylov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.006$1.92+$0.92
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0010.003$1.83+$0.83
Will Volkan Oezdemir be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.006$1.79+$0.79
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0200.018$1.76$0.24
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0030.004$1.74+$0.74
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0030.006$1.73+$0.73
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in February 2027 (ET)? · Yes0.0200.035$1.71+$0.71
Will Dominick Reyes be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0040.006$1.57+$0.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:07Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.8799999956$8.00
09-16 16:57LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Skillcamp Esport (BO5) - LFL Promotion PlayoffsBUY0.08$1.00
09-16 16:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-16 12:03Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-16 12:00W35 Shenyang: Meng Yi Chen vs Tahlia KokkinisBUY0.5099999776$10.00
09-16 11:08Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-16 11:08Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.2$1.00
09-16 11:07Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.0659999963$1.00
09-15 17:00Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.8329999942$1.00
09-15 16:59Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
09-15 16:59Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0299999994$1.00
09-15 16:59Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.013$1.00
09-15 16:59Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.008775351$1.00
09-15 16:59Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0086116161$1.00
09-15 16:59Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.0060691186$1.00