PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9506e646497107cabf2d5b941a8e6a60d0db1c4f

Realised P&L
$32.8k
Volume
$556.8k
Markets traded
1,793
Open portfolio
$11.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,793
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 21? · Yes0.3971.000$5.8k+$3.5k
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21? · No0.7261.000$1.4k+$383.49
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 21? · No0.7251.000$873.59+$240.19
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21? · No0.7780.150$557.51$2.3k
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21? · Yes0.2731.000$496.01+$360.41
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 21? · No0.7941.000$411.08+$84.64
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21? · Yes0.3971.000$286.36+$172.76
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 21? · No0.7740.740$251.15$11.43
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 21? · No0.8320.875$244.11+$11.89
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 21? · No0.4970.445$234.81$27.57
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 21? · Yes0.5000.610$205.56+$37.19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 21? · Yes0.3730.430$152.03+$20.02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? · No0.6610.760$150.07+$19.52
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 21? · Yes0.2790.225$149.81$35.81
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 21? · No0.6570.655$118.91$0.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 10:00Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 21?BUY0.8432605059$66.54
09-21 10:00Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 21?BUY0.2787753825$185.62
09-21 10:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21?BUY0.4008351006$100.17
09-21 10:00Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 21?BUY0.5192828193$36.34
09-21 09:21Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 21?BUY0.7736705025$262.58
09-21 08:21Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 21?BUY0.4972525838$262.38
09-21 08:21Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 21?BUY0.8323652651$232.22
09-21 08:01Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.2502589777$46.83
09-21 08:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 21?BUY0.3733764633$132.01
09-21 08:00Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 21?BUY0.4996433131$168.37
09-21 07:32Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.2759624018$22.22
09-21 07:00Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 21?BUY0.469999995$8.44
09-21 07:00Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 21?BUY0.4409108914$101.89
09-21 05:21Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 21?BUY0.6573325897$119.33
09-21 04:31Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21?BUY0.647381139$37.08