PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 2?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=LTFM&format=raw&date=2026-11-03T00:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.53. up 0.31 over the period, from 0.22. Range 0.18 to 0.53. 40 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.546767
0.5590157
0.567163
0.5710173
0.587180
0.6033213
0.625219
0.6314233
0.646238
0.656244
0.666250
0.686256

Spread0.03Mid0.53

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.518585
0.50192276
0.478285
0.4610295
0.3420315
0.3320335
0.275340
0.2648388
0.1748435
0.1548483
0.0960543
0.08100643

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.498585
0.50192276
0.538285
0.5410295
0.6620315
0.6720335
0.735340
0.7448388
0.8348435
0.8548483
0.9160543
0.92100643

Spread0.03Mid0.47

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.466767
0.4590157
0.447163
0.4310173
0.427180
0.4033213
0.385219
0.3714233
0.366238
0.356244
0.346250
0.326256

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
241532532432Yes282
BilberryYes203.96
mashuuuuYes119.79
acunserdYes119.5
rubby-always-winsYes109.57
ThermomenalYes70.46
quqqqYes60.83
hfvYes60.28
deferredgratificationYes40.3
rocky42013Yes34.03
newbie147Yes30
televisionloudYes28.42
WindollarYes22
dim-sandwichYes20
hashiparrotYes18.52
superpippYes18.51
weatherwhatYes13.9
0x1987adf4C92fa2cffE479686F06D4680FcC81D94-1777272509019Yes11.43
nexttwoYes11.05
bhuumiYes10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:04:03BUYNo0.50999986633$1.45
01:04:03BUYYes0.5175119328$4.16
00:02:46BUYYes0.55$2.50
23:16:40BUYNo0.54077179395$2.93
22:53:57BUYYes0.4120$8.20
22:53:57BUYYes0.4120$47.80
21:30:54BUYYes0.3511$3.87
20:24:21BUYYes0.349999982511$4.00
19:42:01BUYNo0.66999991961$1.00
19:09:28BUYYes0.33999993883$1.00
18:55:09BUYYes0.34999998253$1.00
18:11:55BUYYes0.334215827314$4.65
18:11:54BUYYes0.323$1.00
18:11:54SELLYes0.281$0.27
18:11:52BUYYes0.329999999417$5.60
18:11:52BUYYes0.319555096575$24.09
18:00:55BUYNo0.717$4.97
18:00:54BUYNo0.717$4.97
17:11:24BUYYes0.3099999543$1.01
17:11:10BUYYes0.2801780794191$53.64
17:11:10BUYYes0.370$21.14
17:06:28BUYNo0.7710$7.70
17:02:31BUYNo0.725$3.60
13:23:03BUYNo0.7230$21.60
12:55:43BUYNo0.738$5.84