PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

quqqq

0x1b29fd072a61e82c870034e25bd81169ef70f288

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$95.6k
Markets traded
323
Open portfolio
$103.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded323
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 5? · No0.5390.610$58.89+$6.89
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 5? · Yes0.3710.375$44.45+$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 25? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$144.00
Knicks vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.3020.000$0.00−$3.61
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 28? · Yes0.3690.000$0.00−$37.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 30? · No0.5850.000$0.00−$23.00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 23? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00−$25.71
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 12? · No0.7550.000$0.00−$176.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 1? · Yes0.3760.000$0.00−$34.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 39-40°F on December 3? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$10.00
Raptors vs. Pacers · Pacers0.2600.000$0.00−$14.00
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 28? · Yes0.1840.000$0.00−$21.00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on January 17? · Yes0.2970.000$0.00−$12.92
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 29? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$619.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 20? · No0.5380.000$0.00−$245.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 08:28Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 5?BUY0.5386068691$52.00
10-05 08:27Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 5?BUY0.3712099172$44.00
10-04 08:27Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 4?BUY0.8199999996$352.00
10-03 08:40Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 3?BUY0.1959485674$25.00
10-02 08:45Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 2?BUY0.4731827386$69.00
10-02 08:45Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on October 2?BUY0.7458789046$163.00
10-02 08:44Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 2?BUY0.2050045025$31.00
10-02 08:44Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 2?BUY0.7170850193$123.00
10-02 08:43Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 2?BUY0.684589372$21.26
10-02 08:42Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 2?BUY0.4686420784$41.00
10-01 08:42Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 1?BUY0.7458975633$58.00
10-01 08:42Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 1?BUY0.2813963868$20.00
10-01 08:41Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 1?BUY0.7743517853$85.00
10-01 08:40Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 1?BUY0.3984785365$55.00
09-29 09:04Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 29?BUY0.6978109826$40.00