0x1987adf4C92fa2cffE479686F06D4680FcC81D94-1777272509019
0x1987adf4c92fa2cffe479686f06d4680fcc81d94
- Realised P&L
- $205.79
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 325
- Open portfolio
- $15.43
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded325
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.92at 0.172Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 12?
- +$61.73at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 23?
- +$58.30at 0.513Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 17?
- +$48.61at 0.487Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?
- +$45.28at 0.481Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 20:23 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 20:23 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.4299999498 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.4699999612 | $4.00 |
| 10-31 22:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.5213114737 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 22:26 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 22:25 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 22:21 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $4.00 |
| 10-30 20:37 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.4819671973 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.1799999964 | $3.00 |
| 10-28 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 20:44 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 10-27 20:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |