PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1987adf4C92fa2cffE479686F06D4680FcC81D94-1777272509019

0x1987adf4c92fa2cffe479686f06d4680fcc81d94

Realised P&L
$351.43
Volume
$13.0k
Markets traded
282
Open portfolio
$40.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded282
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 21:18Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 4?BUY0.2472456831$5.00
08-03 21:18Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 4?BUY0.5324481027$6.00
08-03 21:08Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.5952380952$20.00
08-03 21:08Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.1476695893$5.00
08-03 17:40Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 3?SELL0.999$42.33
08-03 17:40Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 3?SELL0.999$9.79
08-02 20:15Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.5099999796$5.00
08-02 20:15Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.1399999291$1.50
08-02 20:13Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 2?SELL0.999$39.64
08-02 20:00Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 3?BUY0.5899999953$25.00
08-02 20:00Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.2895887645$10.00
08-01 22:31Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 2?BUY0.5629629625$25.00
08-01 22:31Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 2?BUY0.2015838546$8.00
07-31 22:59Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 1?BUY0.2278731714$12.00
07-31 22:59Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 1?BUY0.5454184801$30.00