0x1987adf4C92fa2cffE479686F06D4680FcC81D94-1777272509019
0x1987adf4c92fa2cffe479686f06d4680fcc81d94
- Realised P&L
- $351.43
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 282
- Open portfolio
- $40.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded282
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.94at 0.165Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 12?
- +$62.90at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 23?
- +$59.80at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 17?
- +$49.80at 0.474Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?
- +$46.37at 0.469Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2472456831 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 21:18 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5324481027 | $6.00 |
| 08-03 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5952380952 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1476695893 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $42.33 |
| 08-03 17:40 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.79 |
| 08-02 20:15 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 20:15 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1399999291 | $1.50 |
| 08-02 20:13 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.64 |
| 08-02 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.5899999953 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2895887645 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.5629629625 | $25.00 |
| 08-01 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.2015838546 | $8.00 |
| 07-31 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.2278731714 | $12.00 |
| 07-31 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.5454184801 | $30.00 |