Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-29
Resolves by: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.014. down 0.013 over the period, from 0.028. Range 0.013 to 0.073. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.016	50	50
0.017	1,470	1,520
0.018	2,856	4,376
0.019	202	4,579
0.021	510	5,088
0.023	205	5,293
0.024	300	5,593
0.026	411	6,004
0.027	411	6,415
0.032	200	6,615
0.033	500	7,115
0.035	611	7,726

Spread0.004Mid0.014

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.012	93	93
0.011	3,076	3,169
0.010	2,215	5,384
0.009	1,000	6,384
0.008	3,625	10,009
0.007	1,368	11,377
0.006	3,333	14,710
0.005	1,874	16,584
0.004	4,508	21,092
0.003	6,033	27,125
0.002	11,353	38,478
0.001	1,180,598	1,219,076

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.988	93	93
0.989	3,076	3,169
0.990	2,215	5,384
0.991	1,000	6,384
0.992	3,625	10,009
0.993	1,368	11,377
0.994	3,333	14,710
0.995	1,874	16,584
0.996	4,508	21,092
0.997	6,033	27,125
0.998	11,353	38,478
0.999	1,180,598	1,219,076

Spread0.004Mid0.986

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.984	50	50
0.983	1,470	1,520
0.982	2,856	4,376
0.981	202	4,579
0.979	510	5,088
0.977	205	5,293
0.976	300	5,593
0.974	411	6,004
0.973	411	6,415
0.968	200	6,615
0.967	500	7,115
0.965	611	7,726

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
maritime6307	Yes	9,847.25
NoPeeking	Yes	6,210.22
balthazar	Yes	3,906.98
uraw	Yes	3,675.86
Bravo414	Yes	3,010.71
CACAOCAPITAL	Yes	2,999.95
fafafafafafafafsadasdq	Yes	2,780.31
Copezilla	Yes	2,749.86
badatthis	Yes	2,500
MtnMark	Yes	2,376.61
ololololololololo	Yes	2,332.05
gambler925	Yes	2,282.01
Ezzwwd	Yes	2,068.49
Nadmi	Yes	1,208.46
0xdCDdf0C728624b76B2955c04cDe35cC38f5173A5-1772781776054	Yes	1,145.89
forgetfuldory	Yes	1,101.08
0x35E3F0485eB163F8a74420aee0f334a5BEEa3D33-1771973881063	Yes	1,052.63
whumpa	Yes	1,044.12
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758	Yes	1,028.89
hzb8848	Yes	1,000.54

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:44:30	BUY	No	0.989	32	$31.23
16:44:30	BUY	No	0.988	5	$4.94
16:44:30	BUY	No	0.9887434783	28	$27.29
16:44:27	BUY	Yes	0.017	530	$9.01
13:38:43	BUY	No	0.9885230769	30	$29.56
13:38:40	BUY	Yes	0.017	492	$8.36
03:41:40	SELL	Yes	0.011	50	$0.55
03:41:31	BUY	No	0.989	27	$26.63
03:41:31	BUY	No	0.989	17	$16.48
03:41:31	BUY	No	0.989	5	$4.95
03:41:31	BUY	No	0.9884133054	19	$18.87
03:41:31	BUY	No	0.988	5	$4.94
03:41:28	BUY	No	0.985	442	$435.68
02:44:27	BUY	No	0.985	8	$7.49
02:44:27	BUY	No	0.985	5	$4.92
02:44:27	BUY	No	0.985	5	$4.92
02:44:25	BUY	No	0.985	9	$8.58
02:44:22	BUY	No	0.984	125	$123.01
01:01:27	BUY	No	0.985	5	$4.92
01:01:27	BUY	No	0.985	5	$4.92
01:01:24	SELL	No	0.983	24	$23.82
00:59:43	BUY	No	0.985	5	$4.92
00:59:43	BUY	No	0.985	5	$4.92
00:59:40	SELL	No	0.9836636434	90	$88.93
00:56:00	SELL	No	0.984	5	$4.92