PolyBot

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Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-08
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.035. down 0.030 over the period, from 0.065. Range 0.035 to 0.075. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.04077
0.041194201
0.04781282
0.04858340
0.049192532
0.05090623
0.0516301,253
0.0521901,443
0.0535872,030
0.054502,080
0.0602382,318
0.0672252,543

Spread0.010Mid0.035

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03000
0.029322322
0.028621943
0.0276551,598
0.0261001,698
0.0251501,848
0.0241001,948
0.0234202,368
0.022502,418
0.0212,2224,640
0.0205105,150
0.016505,200

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.97000
0.971322322
0.972621943
0.9736551,598
0.9741001,698
0.9751501,848
0.9761001,948
0.9774202,368
0.978502,418
0.9792,2224,640
0.9805105,150
0.984505,200

Spread0.010Mid0.965

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96077
0.959194201
0.95381282
0.95258340
0.951192532
0.95090623
0.9496301,253
0.9481901,443
0.9475872,030
0.946502,080
0.9402382,318
0.9332252,543

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
131071Yes6,577.37
NoPeekingYes6,210.22
JonTayYes5,342.58
maritime6307Yes4,877
gambler925Yes4,009.57
urawYes3,675.86
DegencrewYes3,639.63
Bravo414Yes3,010.71
CACAOCAPITALYes2,999.95
fafafafafafafafsadasdqYes2,780.31
CopezillaYes2,749.86
HerrieDavisYes2,489.53
ololololololololoYes2,332.05
TicTacYes1,459.41
MtnMarkYes1,401.34
0x3448…d09bYes1,215.25
NadmiYes1,208.46
0xdCDdf0C728624b76B2955c04cDe35cC38f5173A5-1772781776054Yes1,145.89
pakoYes1,139.57
0x35E3F0485eB163F8a74420aee0f334a5BEEa3D33-1771973881063Yes1,052.63

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:18:12BUYNo0.976$5.82
00:50:39SELLYes0.0394$2.82
22:19:21SELLYes0.03131$0.97
22:17:19BUYNo0.968308351101$98.00
22:17:19BUYNo0.968140$135.52
22:17:19BUYNo0.962135$129.87
22:17:19BUYNo0.963162$155.96
22:17:18BUYNo0.964294$283.42
22:17:18BUYNo0.961265$254.30
22:16:58SELLNo0.952$1.62
21:50:18SELLYes0.0391$0.06
20:54:34BUYNo0.96099983412$2.34
20:54:34BUYNo0.96110$9.61
20:54:33BUYNo0.96099983411$1.17
20:54:33BUYNo0.96099983412$2.34
20:54:33BUYNo0.96099972981$1.06
20:54:33BUYNo0.96099982425$4.80
20:54:33BUYNo0.96110$9.61
20:54:33BUYNo0.96099979415$4.34
20:54:30BUYNo0.96099992962$1.57
20:54:28BUYNo0.960999997$6.43
20:47:00SELLNo0.957$6.97
20:41:07BUYNo0.96099992047$7.04
20:41:07BUYNo0.96099993975$5.23
20:41:07BUYNo0.96099996345$4.70