PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdCDdf0C728624b76B2955c04cDe35cC38f5173A5-1772781776054

0xdcddf0c728624b76b2955c04cde35cc38f5173a5

Realised P&L
$-36.6k
Volume
$1.55M
Markets traded
532
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded532
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8690.905$1.0k+$41.87
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9310.960$1.0k+$30.81
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7210.825$514.93+$64.93
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · No0.6930.940$406.50+$106.50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9370.982$392.81+$17.81
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1960.440$220.17+$122.17
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.045$187.38−$478.16
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3220.032$117.27−$1.1k
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.2730.275$100.67+$0.67
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes0.1020.024$93.73−$306.26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.3700.345$93.24−$6.76
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.185$84.09−$15.91
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0940.040$63.26−$86.74
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1080.012$55.57−$444.42
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.3000.055$36.68−$163.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 22:18Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?SELL0.61$358.30
10-30 09:58Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.4035291805$210.40
10-30 05:05Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?SELL0.3201673541$640.41
10-29 16:36Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.62$434.29
10-29 16:31Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.5176950044$53.16
10-29 16:30Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.4945300036$500.00
10-29 16:30Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5$200.00
10-29 16:30Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5099999999$105.00
10-29 16:18Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2475247525$10.00
10-29 16:16Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.2699999995$100.00
10-29 15:49Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.3016639197$300.00
10-29 15:38Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.3799999996$300.00
10-29 15:35Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.3799999996$100.00
10-29 15:31Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.5799999998$1000.00
10-29 00:36Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1?BUY0.0598425197$190.00