PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hzb8848

0xdda022be1b7707489a2593a515b1f8f5e4139553

Realised P&L
$-3.6k
Volume
$465.7k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$310.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9400.989$296.70+$14.70
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1220.014$14.01−$108.56
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$3.5k
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$120.13
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$131.99
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$274.88
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$32.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 07:38Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.5817420288$1.6k
10-19 09:58Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.89$2.1k
10-17 13:51Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.89$1.2k
10-06 19:15Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.94$282.00
10-06 19:10Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?SELL0.9$45.00
09-20 09:32Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?SELL0.274$8.22
09-11 12:36Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.22$440.00
09-11 12:36Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?BUY0.239$7.17
09-11 07:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$780.00
09-11 07:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.39$780.00
08-28 15:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.53$1.1k
08-13 15:29Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.72$519.16
08-13 15:27Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.012$36.00
08-07 13:52Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.55$1.6k
08-05 11:51Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?BUY0.015$0.91