hzb8848
0xdda022be1b7707489a2593a515b1f8f5e4139553
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $465.7k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $310.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.989 | $296.70 | +$14.70 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.014 | $14.01 | −$108.56 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.5k |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.13 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$131.99 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$274.88 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.227Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$1.3kat 0.650Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$1.1kat 0.773Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$1.0kat 0.632Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
- +$446.84at 0.776Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 07:38 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5817420288 | $1.6k |
| 10-19 09:58 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $2.1k |
| 10-17 13:51 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.2k |
| 10-06 19:15 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $282.00 |
| 10-06 19:10 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 09-20 09:32 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.274 | $8.22 |
| 09-11 12:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.22 | $440.00 |
| 09-11 12:36 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.239 | $7.17 |
| 09-11 07:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $780.00 |
| 09-11 07:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.39 | $780.00 |
| 08-28 15:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.1k |
| 08-13 15:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.72 | $519.16 |
| 08-13 15:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.012 | $36.00 |
| 08-07 13:52 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.6k |
| 08-05 11:51 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.91 |