PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

hzb8848

0xdda022be1b7707489a2593a515b1f8f5e4139553

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$436.0k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6700.675$2.0k+$15.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.4100.425$1.3k+$45.00
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6320.315$1.3k$1.3k
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.8160.605$377.59$131.70
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0660.062$124.00$8.00
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1220.115$115.06$7.50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0220.011$92.00$86.99
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0220.022$46.12+$0.98
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0110.009$28.50$4.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 02:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.018$54.00
08-01 02:52Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.41$410.00
08-01 02:52Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.67$669.99
08-01 02:51Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.41$820.00
07-31 08:37Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.011$26.29
07-31 06:26Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?BUY0.13$32.50
07-31 03:12Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?BUY0.023$1.15
07-31 03:11Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$18.06
07-31 03:10Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?BUY0.066$14.21
07-31 03:10Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.67$1.3k
07-31 03:09Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$72.00
07-31 03:04Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?BUY0.022$1.32
07-31 02:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.025$2.94
07-24 10:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.76807475$1.2k
07-24 10:07Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.766$306.39