PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ololololololololo

0x2c4ca29d332c67d3ad7bf22b3cfe9486e3b1cb39

Realised P&L
$-100.9k
Volume
$6.45M
Markets traded
159
Open portfolio
$530.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded159
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8650.984$434.9k+$52.5k
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.978$86.9k+$10.4k
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? · No0.9130.956$2.4k+$105.87
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2900.175$2.2k−$1.4k
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8000.905$1.5k+$171.34
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9200.960$1.3k+$53.32
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.1120.034$1.1k−$2.6k
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2700.055$266.22−$1.0k
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes0.2300.025$73.75−$618.62
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1100.014$32.65−$223.85
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0200.001$12.45−$478.58
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0110.001$10.34−$217.06
Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.981$9.80+$4.80
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.1400.021$8.80−$51.32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$2.9k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 15:38Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.92$495.82
09-14 20:39Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.08$756.83
09-14 20:38Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$4.1k
09-14 09:06Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.11$0.66
09-14 09:04Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$3.1k
09-13 17:35Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.13$199.32
09-12 19:08Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.13$447.93
08-01 03:09Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.1131456956$1.1k
07-31 21:45Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.1085994486$1.3k
07-30 15:14Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?BUY0.11$189.71
07-29 17:47Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$333.33
07-29 17:36Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.23$118.37
07-28 22:39Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.23$3.4k
07-28 22:37Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$5.1k
07-28 21:57Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.23$81.19