CACAOCAPITAL
0x77f838c4e46244de925613ff4860807020cc569f
- Realised P&L
- $-10.9k
- Volume
- $780.6k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.672Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$54.00at 0.888Kamala president by Friday?
- +$-33.91at 0.022Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$-116.00at 0.058Obama endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?
- +$-118.00at 0.058Will Milton make landfall as a category 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 17:39 | Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt? | BUY | 0.3748721333 | $112.46 |
| 07-07 17:38 | Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt? | BUY | 0.307 | $76.75 |
| 07-07 17:34 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.81 | $809.99 |
| 07-07 13:52 | Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.33 | $30.87 |
| 07-06 19:06 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $35.01 |
| 07-06 18:47 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.181 | $271.50 |
| 07-06 18:45 | Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.78 | $936.00 |
| 07-06 18:43 | Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.06 | $48.00 |
| 07-06 18:37 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.036 | $100.80 |
| 07-06 18:37 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.047 | $94.00 |
| 12-05 02:37 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | BUY | 0.004 | $34.98 |
| 12-05 02:36 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | BUY | 0.004 | $80.00 |
| 11-06 03:33 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.889 | $889.00 |
| 10-31 20:09 | Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election? | BUY | 0.54 | $316.97 |
| 10-31 20:09 | Trump wins every swing state? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.9k |