PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CACAOCAPITAL

0x77f838c4e46244de925613ff4860807020cc569f

Realised P&L
$-10.9k
Volume
$780.6k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? · Yes0.7801.000$1.2k+$264.00
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.3300.895$89.50+$56.50
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2000.014$42.00−$557.98
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt? · Yes0.3750.000$0.00−$112.46
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00−$809.99
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00−$271.50
Trump wins every swing state? · No0.7700.000$0.00−$1.9k
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yes0.6590.000$0.00−$6.6k
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$1.1k
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$94.00
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt? · Yes0.3070.000$0.00−$76.75
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$48.00
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? · No0.0040.000$0.00−$279.91
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$100.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 17:39Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?BUY0.3748721333$112.46
07-07 17:38Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?BUY0.307$76.75
07-07 17:34Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.81$809.99
07-07 13:52Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.33$30.87
07-06 19:06Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$35.01
07-06 18:47Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.181$271.50
07-06 18:45Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY0.78$936.00
07-06 18:43Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.06$48.00
07-06 18:37Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.036$100.80
07-06 18:37Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.047$94.00
12-05 02:37Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?BUY0.004$34.98
12-05 02:36Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?BUY0.004$80.00
11-06 03:33Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL0.889$889.00
10-31 20:09Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?BUY0.54$316.97
10-31 20:09Trump wins every swing state?BUY0.77$1.9k