Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-30
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.13. down 0.09 over the period, from 0.21. Range 0.06 to 0.21. 48 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.13	443	443
0.14	2,035	2,478
0.15	1,069	3,547
0.16	595	4,142
0.17	448	4,590
0.18	237	4,826
0.19	1,112	5,938
0.20	1,911	7,849
0.21	364	8,214
0.22	661	8,875
0.23	1,087	9,962
0.24	1,878	11,840

Spread0.01Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	617	617
0.11	713	1,330
0.10	200	1,530
0.09	220	1,750
0.08	403	2,153
0.07	544	2,697
0.06	943	3,640
0.05	19,165	22,804
0.04	340	23,144
0.03	1,185	24,329
0.02	765	25,095
0.01	405	25,500

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	617	617
0.89	713	1,330
0.90	200	1,530
0.91	220	1,750
0.92	403	2,153
0.93	544	2,697
0.94	943	3,640
0.95	19,165	22,804
0.96	340	23,144
0.97	1,185	24,329
0.98	765	25,095
0.99	405	25,500

Spread0.01Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.87	443	443
0.86	2,035	2,478
0.85	1,069	3,547
0.84	595	4,142
0.83	448	4,590
0.82	237	4,826
0.81	1,112	5,938
0.80	1,911	7,849
0.79	364	8,214
0.78	661	8,875
0.77	1,087	9,962
0.76	1,878	11,840

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Mac-Gyver	Yes	6,440.94
InsideR5	Yes	3,158.26
smalltimezzz	Yes	3,130.87
rocky42023	Yes	299.7
MartinPNZ	Yes	239.99
hetacz	Yes	200
amy888	Yes	199.99
QuietCurrent	Yes	165.98
2B9S	Yes	159.05
CaprioDiLeo	Yes	150.93
reefv	Yes	149.98
ithinkthisisloser	Yes	121.43
skyne7	Yes	100
Faris20000	Yes	71.43
WanderingPanda	Yes	62.47
Demet3r	Yes	50
AJSV	Yes	50
Sarths	Yes	43.44
0x482F2981Ab659f40E0C0f99234623e21f26b53f7-1773605566485	Yes	41.67
whereismymoney	Yes	30

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:55:06	BUY	No	0.8799999988	34	$30.00
15:52:20	BUY	Yes	0.1299999983	30	$3.85
15:49:56	BUY	No	0.88	43	$38.23
15:33:26	BUY	No	0.88	100	$88.00
15:27:21	SELL	No	0.88	278	$244.53
15:21:26	SELL	No	0.89	211	$188.00
15:18:59	BUY	Yes	0.0984894725	1,767	$174.01
15:18:47	BUY	Yes	0.0838368128	4,674	$391.87
15:18:47	BUY	No	0.9362647805	49	$45.67
14:57:06	BUY	No	0.95	100	$95.24
14:55:30	BUY	No	0.95	100	$95.24
13:49:03	SELL	Yes	0.05	10	$0.50
13:48:03	BUY	No	0.94	109	$102.38
13:03:38	BUY	No	0.9399999906	4	$4.00
12:56:03	BUY	No	0.9399999956	5	$4.24
12:56:03	BUY	Yes	0.0699999997	121	$8.50
12:06:45	BUY	No	0.94	80	$75.20
12:06:27	BUY	No	0.9399999999	135	$127.04
12:06:27	BUY	No	0.94	164	$154.03
11:54:53	BUY	No	0.94	3	$2.69
11:54:23	BUY	No	0.94	20	$18.80
11:47:48	BUY	No	0.94	40	$37.59
11:47:47	BUY	No	0.9399999997	78	$73.37
11:47:47	BUY	No	0.94	20	$18.80
11:45:42	BUY	No	0.94	1	$1.22