0x482F2981Ab659f40E0C0f99234623e21f26b53f7-1773605566485
0x482f2981ab659f40e0c0f99234623e21f26b53f7
- Realised P&L
- $-712.12
- Volume
- $174.8k
- Markets traded
- 515
- Open portfolio
- $69.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded515
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$228.72at 0.007Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
- +$144.76at 0.002Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
- +$120.87at 0.034Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$80.64at 0.035Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
- +$62.79at 0.245Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 13:23 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0103499798 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 13:20 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 13:20 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 13:20 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0978473581 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 20:06 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0679999998 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 20:06 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 16:09 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0098361688 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 16:09 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0061242345 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 15:19 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 15:19 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 20:50 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.0509688069 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 20:50 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.1287128708 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 15:58 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0180077718 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 15:58 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 12:12 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |