PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x482F2981Ab659f40E0C0f99234623e21f26b53f7-1773605566485

0x482f2981ab659f40e0c0f99234623e21f26b53f7

Realised P&L
$-712.12
Volume
$174.8k
Markets traded
515
Open portfolio
$69.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded515
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes0.0680.731$53.75+$48.75
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0100.011$5.31+$0.31
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Yes0.0500.048$4.75−$0.25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Yes0.0980.065$3.32−$1.68
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Yes0.2000.110$2.75−$2.25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17? · No0.7200.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$20.00
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 14? · Down0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 13:23Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.0103499798$5.00
10-09 13:20Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.05$5.00
10-09 13:20Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.2$5.00
10-09 13:20Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.0978473581$5.00
10-07 20:06Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.0679999998$5.00
10-07 20:06Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.1299999982$5.00
10-05 16:09Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.0098361688$5.00
10-05 16:09Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.0061242345$5.00
10-04 15:19Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?BUY0.036$5.00
10-04 15:19Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
10-02 20:50Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.0509688069$5.00
10-02 20:50Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.1287128708$5.00
10-01 15:58Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.0180077718$5.00
10-01 15:58Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.007$5.00
09-30 12:12Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.05$5.00