PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

QuietCurrent

0x295f44ab3c3332db62e8e073ab0bd2fade5bd1bc

Realised P&L
$0.94
Volume
$87.66
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$3.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 17? · Yes0.1100.250$1.25+$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 17? · Yes0.1000.110$0.55+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 17? · Yes0.0600.105$0.53+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 17? · Yes0.0300.095$0.47+$0.33
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 18? · Yes0.0300.035$0.17+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 18? · Yes0.0400.025$0.13$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 18? · Yes0.0700.025$0.13$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 17? · Yes0.0060.024$0.12+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 17? · Yes0.0200.018$0.09$0.01
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.0050.009$0.05+$0.02
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · No0.0260.009$0.04$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 18? · Yes0.0050.003$0.01$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 17? · Yes0.0020.001$0.01$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 17? · Yes0.0300.001$0.00$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 17? · Yes0.0110.001$0.00$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 10:57Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?SELL0.63$0.84
08-31 10:42Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?BUY0.75$1.00