Demet3r
0x40e6be2690224a5663a417dccb7a14fe7811459f
- Realised P&L
- $-54.86
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 253
- Open portfolio
- $202.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded253
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.00at 0.020Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$46.50at 0.020Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$38.71at 0.055Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
- +$23.37at 0.026Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
- +$15.15at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 10:25 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 09-25 01:18 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.00162 | $0.16 |
| 09-24 12:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 20:23 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.0469999994 | $1.25 |
| 09-22 17:37 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 09-22 12:45 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.70 |
| 09-22 10:03 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 09-21 19:09 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 09-18 06:08 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 09-17 11:56 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 09-17 08:13 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.32 |
| 09-16 23:03 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 09-15 00:04 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 09-14 14:19 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 09-11 04:15 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |