Demet3r
0x40e6be2690224a5663a417dccb7a14fe7811459f
- Realised P&L
- $-0.03
- Volume
- $391.63
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $20.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.350 | $8.75 | −$3.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.325 | $8.13 | +$5.85 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.075 | $1.88 | −$0.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.195 | $1.49 | +$0.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.015 | $0.38 | −$1.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.006 | $0.16 | −$2.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on August 4? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.23at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on August 4?
- +$10.23at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5?
- +$6.98at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 4?
- +$5.98at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4?
- +$1.48at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 41°C or higher on August 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-04 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.13 |
| 08-04 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-04 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C or below on August 5? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-03 02:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.10 |
| 08-03 02:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 08-02 23:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |