InsideR5
0x17f1888478009327ed2120be48153f7268770528
- Realised P&L
- $6.0k
- Volume
- $9.06M
- Markets traded
- 579
- Open portfolio
- $88.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded579
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.225 | $47.08 | +$15.88 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.009 | $19.00 | −$27.77 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.145 | $14.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $4.23 | −$21.80 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $1.50 | −$10.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$17.04 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.009 | $0.76 | −$0.28 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.001 | $0.62 | −$29.93 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.120Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.016Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.070Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.060Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.456Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 14:44 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $20.44 |
| 08-07 13:38 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.65 |
| 08-07 05:41 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $23.04 |
| 08-07 05:21 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $9.45 |
| 08-07 05:13 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $29.64 |
| 08-07 03:41 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.1007568627 | $5.14 |
| 08-07 02:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $16.15 |
| 08-07 02:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $22.70 |
| 08-07 01:21 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 08-07 00:59 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.0027315039 | $4.44 |
| 08-06 23:45 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.0504003944 | $32.71 |
| 08-06 23:41 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 08-06 22:43 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.92 |
| 08-06 22:26 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $27.03 |
| 08-06 21:57 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $13.56 |