Sarths
0x811ee012b9e23651bb02f7841919e912fab1265c
- Realised P&L
- $-499.54
- Volume
- $1.31M
- Markets traded
- 294
- Open portfolio
- $529.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded294
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No | 0.715 | 0.707 | $211.94 | −$2.55 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · No | 0.756 | 0.690 | $136.36 | −$13.08 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.445 | $133.35 | +$18.86 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.110 | $32.85 | +$4.35 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.372 | 0.375 | $12.72 | +$0.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.085 | $2.28 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$535.12at 0.784Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
- +$514.40at 0.600Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
- +$503.97at 0.291Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
- +$470.02at 0.748Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
- +$442.05at 0.260Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 20:37 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $16.13 |
| 10-15 20:35 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.1020506077 | $10.75 |
| 10-15 20:35 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $17.13 |
| 10-15 20:35 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $7.74 |
| 10-15 20:35 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.35 |
| 10-15 20:34 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $69.30 |
| 10-15 20:34 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.77 |
| 10-15 20:33 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 10-15 20:33 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.1342419825 | $11.51 |
| 10-15 20:33 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.4308761522 | $47.21 |
| 10-15 20:32 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.1712762648 | $35.78 |
| 10-15 20:32 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.378442029 | $104.45 |
| 10-15 20:32 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.4253079002 | $26.76 |
| 10-15 20:32 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.740809966 | $259.28 |
| 10-15 20:32 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.1503591114 | $27.01 |