PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in November 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.035. down 0.030 over the period, from 0.066. Range 0.035 to 0.105. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0407777
0.04123100
0.04359159
0.04754213
0.050625838
0.09675913
0.097901,003
0.099501,053
0.1001001,153
0.117501,203
0.118701,273
0.130651,338

Spread0.010Mid0.035

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0308787
0.029895
0.02686180
0.02299280
0.00525305
0.004525830
0.0033,4404,270
0.0021,0105,280
0.0017,20512,485

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9708787
0.971895
0.97486180
0.97899280
0.99525305
0.996525830
0.9973,4404,270
0.9981,0105,280
0.9997,20512,485

Spread0.010Mid0.965

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9607777
0.95923100
0.95759159
0.95354213
0.950625838
0.90475913
0.903901,003
0.901501,053
0.9001001,153
0.883501,203
0.882701,273
0.870651,338

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0120346Yes784.37
BitgodYes630
Numitus1994Yes625.57
aguoYes315.74
hetaczYes300
HerrieDavisYes225
sange111Yes190.91
0xf0e0…b50eYes94.21
HaribotYes59.93
OmwamiJeffYes55
cmnd7wYes50
ViscaElBarcaYes50
LornaPredictsYes48
xtxpleasecallmeYes15.26
ra5tadarkYes15
pupka-zalupkaYes8
0xa5ef…2966No1,712.48
AndreaPirloNo987.8
0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715No759.23
ghorrockNo5.78

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:23:16BUYNo0.96255$52.91
02:32:04SELLYes0.0382855783105$4.02
18:21:30BUYNo0.9609999812$1.72
18:21:28BUYNo0.96190$86.49
18:01:48BUYNo0.9572$2.04
18:01:39BUYNo0.9576$6.05
18:01:37BUYNo0.9577$6.67
18:01:22BUYNo0.95710$9.26
18:00:46BUYNo0.95710$9.57
18:00:46BUYNo0.95750$47.85
18:00:46BUYNo0.9569999998157$150.72
17:06:27BUYYes0.060654063943$2.63
17:02:46BUYYes0.058999999651$3.00
13:23:49BUYYes0.0655835495152$10.00
13:20:37BUYYes0.0612513082163$10.00
06:53:07BUYNo0.9499999981234$222.76
01:57:48SELLYes0.0541$0.05
01:52:27BUYNo0.94650$47.30
01:27:40SELLYes0.0540$0.02
01:06:31BUYNo0.94623$21.29
01:05:18SELLYes0.05462$3.35
16:13:07SELLYes0.05110$0.51
19:47:19BUYNo0.93310$9.33
14:00:56SELLNo0.95181$171.66
13:01:55SELLYes0.028329$9.21