0xf0e06e239536ff4228185224d003b8835d8eb50e
0xf0e06e239536ff4228185224d003b8835d8eb50e
- Realised P&L
- $-116.83
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $8.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in November 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.035 | $3.25 | −$2.38 |
| Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in November 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.007 | $1.81 | −$1.19 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.076 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.004 | $0.74 | −$0.89 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.009 | $0.73 | −$0.90 |
| Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in November 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.018 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.95at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
- +$21.23at 0.075Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 4AM ET
- +$13.39at 0.068Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 4AM ET
- +$1.57at 0.029Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
- +$0.00at 0.465Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.63 |
| 11-01 16:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.26 |
| 11-01 16:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.0239999998 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 16:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 16:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 16:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 04:24 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0889999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.0090909091 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 17:33 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 17:12 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0100344211 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 17:11 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0092185865 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 17:08 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0212324649 | $1.63 |
| 10-31 17:07 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0098907767 | $1.63 |
| 10-31 17:06 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in November 2026? | BUY | 0.0606540639 | $2.63 |
| 10-31 17:03 | Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in November 2026? | BUY | 0.0286782296 | $1.00 |