0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715
0x279c5de35108afc30b99f09e595555b428e92b82
- Realised P&L
- $6.3k
- Volume
- $2.32M
- Markets traded
- 268
- Open portfolio
- $27.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded268
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.556Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
- +$1.8kat 0.152GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.879Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$994.55at 0.503Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
- +$861.64at 0.400Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:29 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 08-03 05:52 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.105 | $8.31 |
| 08-03 05:46 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $7.68 |
| 08-03 05:09 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 08-03 02:19 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $27.55 |
| 08-03 02:02 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $5.82 |
| 08-03 02:00 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 01:27 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $13.05 |
| 08-03 01:20 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $11.72 |
| 08-03 01:16 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $13.47 |
| 08-03 01:15 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $14.26 |
| 08-03 01:06 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $8.66 |
| 08-03 01:06 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $17.42 |
| 08-03 01:02 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $7.32 |
| 08-03 00:58 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $10.93 |