0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715
0x279c5de35108afc30b99f09e595555b428e92b82
- Realised P&L
- $6.6k
- Volume
- $2.69M
- Markets traded
- 599
- Open portfolio
- $31.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded599
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.556Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
- +$1.8kat 0.154GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.879Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$1.1kat 0.109Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?
- +$994.55at 0.503Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:53 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $11.70 |
| 11-01 22:52 | Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $16.80 |
| 11-01 22:31 | Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999966 | $20.60 |
| 11-01 22:25 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.792165547 | $34.52 |
| 11-01 22:23 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in November 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $52.91 |
| 11-01 22:23 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.0329999997 | $1.08 |
| 11-01 22:18 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0661772555 | $1.85 |
| 11-01 22:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15? | SELL | 0.58 | $82.42 |
| 11-01 22:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3? | BUY | 0.0239999999 | $2.05 |
| 11-01 21:53 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.929 | $32.69 |
| 11-01 21:52 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $96.40 |
| 11-01 21:52 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.70 |
| 11-01 21:46 | Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.829335998 | $12.49 |
| 11-01 21:35 | Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.8329999979 | $15.38 |
| 11-01 21:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | BUY | 0.06 | $5.79 |