hnbl2715
0x9842a7fcf5724641044ae5c138b07cf823205ac8
- Realised P&L
- $-461.99
- Volume
- $40.1k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $551.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$237.71at 0.444Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m?
- +$77.00at 0.230Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?
- +$71.05at 0.605Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?
- +$47.98at 0.300Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?
- +$47.87at 0.170Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:58 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | BUY | 0.65 | $97.50 |
| 09-17 00:40 | Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026? | SELL | 0.0104 | $1.04 |
| 09-16 14:17 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0011718607 | $0.26 |
| 09-16 12:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 09-16 12:19 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.297 | $5.41 |
| 09-16 00:04 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.048 | $4.80 |
| 09-15 12:21 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 08:10 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 09-15 06:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 06:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 02:13 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 09-13 19:00 | Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 6m? | SELL | 0.005150015 | $0.51 |
| 09-13 19:00 | Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 06:14 | Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years? | SELL | 0.15 | $23.55 |
| 09-13 06:13 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30? | SELL | 0.0080993684 | $1.54 |