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Traders

hnbl2715

0x9842a7fcf5724641044ae5c138b07cf823205ac8

Realised P&L
$-461.99
Volume
$40.1k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$551.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? · Yes0.5040.595$238.00+$36.50
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.4140.525$131.25+$27.75
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.3640.525$126.00+$38.60
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? · Yes0.1100.150$15.05+$4.05
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? · Yes0.2000.067$13.30$26.70
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes0.0610.085$12.25+$3.39
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? · Yes0.0990.086$8.60$1.30
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? · Yes0.0900.043$4.35$4.65
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0200.014$1.40$0.60
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? · Yes0.0600.048$1.00$0.25
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? · Yes0.2290.000$0.00$6.00
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 28m? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$0.04
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m? · No0.0110.000$0.00$1.10
Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 21.5m? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 00:58Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?BUY0.65$97.50
09-17 00:40Will SpaceX have fewer than 12 launches in September 2026?SELL0.0104$1.04
09-16 14:17Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 15, 2026?SELL0.0011718607$0.26
09-16 12:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$6.00
09-16 12:19Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 15, 2026?BUY0.297$5.41
09-16 00:04Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.048$4.80
09-15 12:21Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2$10.00
09-15 08:10Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.18$9.00
09-15 06:52Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$6.00
09-15 06:52Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
09-15 02:13Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?BUY0.64$64.00
09-13 19:00Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?SELL0.005150015$0.51
09-13 19:00Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?SELL0.01$1.00
09-13 06:14Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?SELL0.15$23.55
09-13 06:13Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?SELL0.0080993684$1.54
Trader hnbl2715 · PolyBot Pro