sange111
0x87a9157fffce89ce17201716abade38cf68b4bdf
- Realised P&L
- $5.9k
- Volume
- $532.9k
- Markets traded
- 674
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded674
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.076Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.268Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
- +$291.18at 0.514Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
- +$282.80at 0.097Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$271.21at 0.990Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:04 | Will Elon tweet 1040-1079 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.26 |
| 09-17 15:03 | Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.081 | $1.71 |
| 09-17 15:01 | Will Elon tweet 1000-1039 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $0.25 |
| 09-17 14:29 | Will Elon tweet 1040-1079 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.022499002 | $0.23 |
| 09-17 14:16 | Will Elon tweet 1000-1039 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $0.20 |
| 09-17 13:23 | Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.06 |
| 09-17 13:22 | Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.0106399427 | $0.15 |
| 09-17 12:12 | Will Elon tweet 1040-1079 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.0225004965 | $0.23 |
| 09-17 11:47 | Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.0075 | $0.22 |
| 09-17 11:46 | Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.0115 | $0.12 |
| 09-17 11:39 | Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.0234985134 | $0.24 |
| 09-17 10:26 | Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.0057119127 | $0.12 |
| 09-17 10:25 | Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.0055914826 | $0.14 |
| 09-17 10:24 | Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.0066404782 | $0.16 |
| 09-17 10:22 | Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.0067221955 | $0.14 |