PolyBot

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Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.41. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.38. Range 0.35 to 0.50. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.412020
0.473050
0.4858108
0.498115
0.50200315
0.5326341
0.9424365
0.9712377
0.98100477
0.998485

Spread0.01Mid0.41

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.40228228
0.3923251
0.38500751
0.37112863
0.3628891
0.351151,006
0.25401,046
0.246341,680
0.231,0332,714
0.212202,933
0.192503,183
0.151003,283

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.60228228
0.6123251
0.62500751
0.63112863
0.6428891
0.651151,006
0.75401,046
0.766341,680
0.771,0332,714
0.792202,933
0.812503,183
0.851003,283

Spread0.01Mid0.59

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.592020
0.533050
0.5258108
0.518115
0.50200315
0.4726341
0.0624365
0.0312377
0.02100477
0.018485

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
BonimbaYes1,060.67
0x68e9…2b60Yes580.69
NewshoundYes491.35
LlamaLoco0000Yes418.75
csxa324123cfd12412rasdcxaYes320.99
CarYes299.99
JuicedBunchedYes219.67
SundaychristianYes194.44
5atkaYes140.44
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Yes110.06
KrassYes100
vinnieip15Yes100
troimYes99.99
CeccoYes82.65
kevrizzoYes57
0x52a4…6926Yes50
tradewifeYes30.3
AJSVYes30.05
nicoco89Yes30
MadusYes29.41

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:02:50SELLYes0.45162$72.75
16:33:07SELLNo0.5320$10.60
08:44:12BUYYes0.408133207222$90.45
20:08:54BUYNo0.60427450$30.21
07:56:06BUYNo0.538$3.98
06:48:06BUYNo0.53999995686$3.00
22:40:37SELLYes0.3840$15.20
14:43:55BUYNo0.6220$12.40
11:52:45SELLYes0.33110$36.30
11:25:19SELLNo0.650501100$65.05
11:25:16BUYYes0.3396613857294$100.00
00:33:36SELLNo0.695$3.45
13:04:15BUYYes0.26300$78.00
08:28:19SELLYes0.2710$2.70
08:27:58BUYNo0.7310$7.30
12:21:06BUYNo0.7143$100.00
22:32:10SELLYes0.314$4.27
00:20:39SELLYes0.315$1.55
12:18:21SELLNo0.695$3.58
16:02:15BUYYes0.2890403656210$60.72
13:49:28BUYYes0.26999993711$3.00
17:56:34SELLYes0.2413$3.21
20:21:37SELLYes0.3237$71.02
14:00:30SELLYes0.31210$65.13
02:54:33BUYYes0.3217$5.29