Madus
0x97f5da8abdba11c1494c34fd7a1d297fcc087217
- Realised P&L
- $-60.31
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $47.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.500 | $16.39 | −$3.61 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · No | 0.660 | 1.000 | $15.15 | +$5.15 |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.405 | $11.91 | +$1.91 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.297 | 0.021 | $3.62 | −$46.38 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.250Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$13.26at 0.430US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$12.26at 0.620US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$11.13at 0.640US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$9.26at 0.648Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 07:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.7799999548 | $10.00 |
| 05-04 05:10 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 15:17 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $31.13 |
| 03-29 07:25 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.3299999922 | $20.00 |
| 03-29 07:23 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 03-25 18:10 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $20.00 |
| 03-16 22:36 | Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 03-16 22:36 | Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 03-16 22:36 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 03-16 22:32 | Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 03-16 22:32 | Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 03-16 22:32 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 22:00 | Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre? | SELL | 0.9478237771 | $29.26 |
| 03-15 21:57 | Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | SELL | 0.87 | $22.89 |
| 03-10 19:39 | Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre? | BUY | 0.647829762 | $20.00 |