PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2eba0bd81e35707040c4dc84071b3bb90d32ffa3

0x2eba0bd81e35707040c4dc84071b3bb90d32ffa3

Realised P&L
$453.97
Volume
$458.9k
Markets traded
344
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded344
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7870.925$1.1k+$166.00
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · No0.5200.935$374.00+$166.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6900.645$322.50−$22.50
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? · No0.6760.929$213.74+$58.29
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · No0.8300.973$194.50+$28.50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5900.275$110.00−$126.00
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · No0.7300.951$95.14+$22.04
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.105$63.21−$21.07
Blue tsunami in 2026? · Yes0.2800.675$26.05+$15.25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1760.123$24.70−$10.50
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1000.055$22.93−$18.76
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · No0.5400.981$19.62+$8.82
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1000.033$9.75−$20.25
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026? · Yes0.1240.000$0.00−$1.04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.5260.000$0.00−$589.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 07:34Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.0170625$13.65
10-06 07:20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.16$32.00
09-04 07:42Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?BUY0.66$155.90
09-03 12:03Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?BUY0.865$748.32
09-02 12:24Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?BUY0.79$490.20
09-01 07:43Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.42$252.00
09-01 07:43Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.28$112.00
09-01 06:59Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.43$86.00
08-27 08:27Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.212$31.80
08-24 07:26Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?BUY0.44$107.80
08-24 07:25Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?SELL0.006$4.80
08-19 07:12Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?BUY0.38$65.15
08-18 06:48Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.379$37.90
08-17 13:51Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?BUY0.39$152.70
08-17 12:04Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.17$34.00