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Traders

Krass

0x581d4108ba018d56e573f424c2971c16efe1b2e3

Realised P&L
$14.5k
Volume
$504.8k
Markets traded
930
Open portfolio
$42.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded930
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9430.976$3.2k+$107.96
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8780.950$2.6k+$196.26
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.8690.972$2.3k+$246.63
NATO dissolves before 2027? · No0.9210.985$1.9k+$124.40
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · No0.6890.870$1.5k+$305.62
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.8730.951$1.4k+$116.76
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · No0.9620.982$1.4k+$27.53
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? · No0.7740.948$1.4k+$248.28
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8400.945$1.1k+$126.00
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9200.970$967.88+$49.34
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8220.957$957.00+$135.00
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8690.971$910.38+$95.02
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.6940.965$863.68+$241.99
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8340.957$860.84+$109.85
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · No0.9540.989$852.04+$30.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 16:19Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$85.00
04-16 15:42Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.72$34.57
04-10 14:51Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?SELL0.763$34.34
04-10 14:40Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?SELL0.6261038889$56.35
04-09 19:00Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$178.00
04-09 09:30Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.82$164.00
04-09 08:58Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?BUY0.92$64.40
04-08 23:38Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.81$162.00
04-08 20:03Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.56$23.36
04-08 18:39JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?BUY0.18$10.17
04-08 18:34JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?BUY0.776$66.46
04-08 18:34JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?BUY0.775$46.42
04-08 18:33JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?BUY0.768$66.05
04-08 18:33JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?BUY0.761$19.79
04-08 18:33JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?BUY0.76$45.52
Trader Krass · PolyBot Pro