PolyBot

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Will the biggest earthquake on October 2, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-03
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.990. up 0.840 over the period, from 0.150. Range 0.080 to 0.990. 34 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9996565

Spread0.018Mid0.990

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9814949
0.8651059
0.8644099
0.86326125
0.8606131
0.84018148
0.8206154
0.80025179
0.78014193
0.7507200
0.74013213
0.73014227

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0194949
0.1351059
0.1364099
0.13726125
0.1406131
0.16018148
0.1806154
0.20025179
0.22014193
0.2507200
0.26013213
0.27014227

Spread0.018Mid0.010

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0016565

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x7f15F350261a0dfA8bff802df364E33773d552f1-1768964329836Yes169
gerkgerk11Yes100
memetalYes74.42
0x9a9EcCC770987aF75fbC850cb9d2F7BEe23Cc6E9-1768170850546Yes33.18
buyat89Yes30.05
xibuxixiYes30
trader-d6d0c149Yes4.24
0x99ae…cb56Yes3.76
0x28fe…cfefYes3.49
0xa5ef…2966No203.97
LovelyPandaNo47.01
PPMTNo28.84
03BenClarkNo26
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527No21
justagrosshopperNo20.1
a5533No20
rubby1337No20
zxcursed121No19.89
rocky42001No13
0x3ff7…2fa2No10.66

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:13:11SELLYes0.9831$1.14
02:49:44BUYYes0.994416717174$74.00
02:16:53BUYNo0.03926$1.01
00:16:18BUYYes0.9910$9.90
22:41:12BUYNo0.039$0.27
22:37:23SELLNo0.0440$1.60
22:23:39SELLNo0.0434185112117$5.08
22:18:29SELLYes0.9120$18.20
22:18:29SELLYes0.851$0.94
22:18:27SELLYes0.914$3.86
22:18:26BUYYes0.8920$17.80
22:17:57BUYYes0.91$1.00
22:17:56BUYYes0.8910$8.90
22:13:30SELLNo0.1101$10.05
22:07:05SELLYes0.831$0.92
22:07:05SELLYes0.830$0.02
22:07:03SELLYes0.8310$8.34
22:07:03SELLYes0.831$0.83
22:05:21BUYYes0.91$1.00
22:05:21BUYYes0.94$3.84
22:05:20BUYYes0.910$9.05
22:05:20BUYYes0.9201$180.90
22:04:44BUYNo0.08200$16.00
21:37:05SELLNo0.068100$6.80
21:30:51BUYYes0.9449707656101$95.00