PolyBot

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Traders

gerkgerk11

0x528989b42d04bf28829a994c2b8bc87da1eaf09f

Realised P&L
$-68.93
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$192.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the biggest earthquake on October 2, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8? · Yes0.5000.990$99.00+$49.00
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes0.1680.135$67.50−$16.50
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3310.115$25.27−$47.46
Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? · No0.3000.305$0.44+$0.01
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.0260.000$0.00−$1.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 23:24Over $60M committed to the Jumper public sale?BUY0.032$0.96
09-30 21:21Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.32$88.07
09-30 11:24Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?SELL0.4$20.00
09-30 11:20Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?SELL0.22$9.95
09-30 11:18Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?SELL0.22$89.05
09-30 10:19Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?SELL0.68$68.00
09-30 08:27US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.982$119.20
09-29 21:00Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.0405530115$5.22
09-29 20:10Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?SELL0.54$10.80
09-29 19:23Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?BUY0.57$11.40
09-29 18:56Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.0259999999$5.00
09-29 18:53Trump renames AI by September 30?SELL0.024$4.80
09-28 22:46US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.38$45.60
09-28 22:37US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.4$48.00
09-28 21:40Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?SELL0.4152770449$15.74