weather1024
0xea21528defb2440fb0aa2d38eea724c6c794f753
- Realised P&L
- $608.77
- Volume
- $55.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,642
- Open portfolio
- $51.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,642
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.64at 0.125Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?
- +$35.39at 0.594Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 15?
- +$30.32at 0.242Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?
- +$29.66at 0.909Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 21?
- +$29.18at 0.856Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2704066667 | $8.11 |
| 08-05 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.64 | $7.11 |
| 08-05 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.75 | $4.50 |
| 08-05 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5 | $0.97 |
| 08-05 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? | SELL | 0.685 | $10.96 |
| 08-05 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.19 |
| 08-05 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.7 | $15.46 |
| 08-05 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.09 |
| 08-05 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.29 |
| 08-05 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.52 |
| 08-05 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.65 | $7.15 |
| 08-05 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.10 |
| 08-05 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.72 | $10.80 |
| 08-05 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 08-05 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |