0x99ae09f02f13b9f86df32f3a3737f7ee1c24cb56
0x99ae09f02f13b9f86df32f3a3737f7ee1c24cb56
- Realised P&L
- $-40.77
- Volume
- $264.42
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $44.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.06at 0.527Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$0.75at 0.865Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?
- +$0.61at 0.881Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.59at 0.847Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5
- +$0.40at 0.923WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 14:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.2099999906 | $2.01 |
| 10-03 13:48 | Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $2.06 |
| 10-03 13:07 | Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.06 |
| 10-02 19:24 | Will the biggest earthquake on October 2, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8? | BUY | 0.8599999893 | $3.23 |
| 10-02 18:43 | Will Kennedy Center demolition be announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.9809999958 | $3.25 |
| 10-02 18:03 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $340 on October 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.25 |
| 10-02 17:13 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3? | BUY | 0.5499999432 | $3.39 |
| 10-02 15:51 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | BUY | 0.2899999946 | $1.62 |
| 10-02 15:51 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | BUY | 0.2769999657 | $1.60 |
| 10-02 15:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.1399999947 | $3.17 |
| 10-02 14:40 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.25 |
| 10-02 13:50 | Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.23 |
| 10-02 13:37 | Kazakhstan vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.8399999792 | $3.23 |
| 10-01 19:36 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.0 and 37.4 on October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999795 | $3.88 |
| 10-01 18:51 | Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.9299999856 | $3.88 |