0x3ff744e98838aff22c4a4bec0adec775ab862fa2
0x3ff744e98838aff22c4a4bec0adec775ab862fa2
- Realised P&L
- $56.76
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $419.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.47at 0.094Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?
- +$22.36at 0.125Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?
- +$16.05at 0.198Will the biggest earthquake on September 27, 2026 be under 5.3?
- +$13.99at 0.196Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
- +$0.67at 0.933Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 23:46 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4? | BUY | 0.57 | $60.99 |
| 09-28 14:41 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $40.28 |
| 09-28 11:13 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6? | BUY | 0.85 | $68.51 |
| 09-28 10:56 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 6.1 or more? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 09:28 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-28 09:26 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6? | BUY | 0.09 | $7.20 |
| 09-28 09:16 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 6.1 or more? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.68 |
| 09-28 09:08 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be 5.7 to 5.8? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.60 |
| 09-27 13:49 | Will the biggest earthquake on September 27, 2026 be under 5.3? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 09-27 02:59 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.2467529412 | $83.90 |
| 09-26 12:42 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 09-26 11:28 | Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $49.92 |
| 09-26 03:22 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? | BUY | 0.55 | $11.55 |
| 09-25 14:09 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.185 | $49.95 |
| 09-25 14:09 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.184 | $5.52 |