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Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-05
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Anthropic. Currently 0.92. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.91. Range 0.91 to 0.95. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Anthropic

Live
Anthropic asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9312,68012,680
0.9411,63224,312
0.9521,38145,693
0.9695446,647
0.971,31747,965
0.982,48850,453
0.994,26054,713

Spread0.02Mid0.92

Anthropic bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.915,8845,884
0.902,9768,860
0.892,22011,080
0.8810011,180
0.8015011,330
0.7529311,623
0.73511,628
0.5110411,731
0.5015011,881
0.4148312,364
0.3710412,468
0.2123812,706

OpenAI

Live
OpenAI asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.095,8845,884
0.102,9768,860
0.112,22011,080
0.1210011,180
0.2015011,330
0.2529311,623
0.27511,628
0.4910411,731
0.5015011,881
0.5948312,364
0.6310412,468
0.7923812,706

Spread0.02Mid0.08

OpenAI bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0712,68012,680
0.0611,63224,312
0.0521,38145,693
0.0495446,647
0.031,31747,965
0.022,48850,453
0.014,26054,713

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
thoodrAnthropic10,003.54
TheReturnOfDarthMaulAnthropic3,654.51
phdcapitalAnthropic2,499.96
CrypAnthropic1,958.3
0xef97…ab2cAnthropic1,372.4
End123Anthropic1,158.8
HEBI55Anthropic1,000
ThanksGivingTurkey1001Anthropic999.99
BerkshireHahawayAnthropic893.59
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Anthropic738.22
0x9F5711cA7364Ac9c44FFd025299Ff02a82e54f12-1771220305388Anthropic624.95
tywedAnthropic543.54
code.upAnthropic508.53
il1Anthropic500.72
risk-managerAnthropic450
AnjunAnthropic443
Elias.ThornwellAnthropic439.27
0x6bd2671189761274417e66D1F6a834ecdBb695f6-1761995156221Anthropic300
0xf96f03ba1d71026856050D3B6a92Ad9A13aa1f5C-1768251706052Anthropic273.53
heiyinAnthropic241.11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:24:15BUYAnthropic0.921$1.00
02:56:03SELLOpenAI0.0875$5.97
12:44:57BUYOpenAI0.089999999298$8.83
09:42:13BUYOpenAI0.0820$1.60
09:36:27BUYAnthropic0.92906165711,076$1000.01
20:14:27BUYOpenAI0.0830$2.40
17:50:46BUYAnthropic0.93999999625$5.00
17:49:17SELLAnthropic0.90496500$452.48
20:09:19BUYOpenAI0.0811$0.84
07:46:38BUYAnthropic0.9511$10.00
07:17:58BUYOpenAI0.0650$3.00
04:57:53SELLOpenAI0.0510$0.49
04:57:52BUYAnthropic0.948300$284.40
20:08:15BUYOpenAI0.0730$2.10
13:37:41BUYAnthropic0.929999988868$63.17
02:46:21BUYAnthropic0.935$4.99
01:59:32SELLOpenAI0.0750$3.50
01:59:20BUYAnthropic0.92130$119.60
01:59:18BUYAnthropic0.9350$46.50
17:07:20SELLAnthropic0.916$5.31
15:30:14BUYAnthropic0.929999999542$38.78
15:30:14SELLOpenAI0.0850$4.00
14:19:15SELLAnthropic0.9113$12.13
12:44:35SELLAnthropic0.928$7.62
14:09:39SELLAnthropic0.9110$9.10