ThanksGivingTurkey1001
0xbace5a5a9e309d69164dc81788d353fed8d43429
- Realised P&L
- $70.2k
- Volume
- $4.63M
- Markets traded
- 426
- Open portfolio
- $351.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded426
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.6kat 0.253Will Solana dip to $80 in February?
- +$9.6kat 0.290Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$6.2kat 0.204Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?
- +$4.1kat 0.824Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.577Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | SELL | 0.011 | $22.00 |
| 09-12 07:42 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.984 | $4.2k |
| 09-06 07:48 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.981 | $244.17 |
| 09-01 22:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? | BUY | 0.02 | $179.12 |
| 08-31 16:10 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.9745078546 | $5.6k |
| 08-25 18:36 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? | BUY | 0.81 | $243.00 |
| 08-24 15:22 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? | BUY | 0.4422222222 | $119.40 |
| 08-22 22:57 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $57.70 |
| 08-22 19:54 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $48.07 |
| 08-22 15:25 | Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.0k |
| 08-22 15:03 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? | BUY | 0.9096576546 | $1.8k |
| 08-22 15:03 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? | BUY | 0.7998507017 | $535.74 |
| 08-22 06:41 | Will Solana reach $110 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.057 | $149.46 |
| 08-22 05:21 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.886 | $8.86 |
| 08-22 05:03 | Will Solana reach $110 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.1619866667 | $242.98 |