0xf96f03ba1d71026856050D3B6a92Ad9A13aa1f5C-1768251706052
0xf96f03ba1d71026856050d3b6a92ad9a13aa1f5c
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $141.9k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.140MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$524.44at 0.594Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$326.22at 0.129MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$216.46at 0.495XRP Up or Down - February 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
- +$197.00at 0.507Spread: Austria (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 14:08 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.1009630953 | $100.00 |
| 07-16 17:16 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.5 | $143.66 |
| 07-16 17:15 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6499999991 | $150.00 |
| 07-16 09:59 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4199999992 | $250.00 |
| 07-16 09:59 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5799999977 | $250.00 |
| 07-15 10:24 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999946 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 22:06 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999997 | $400.00 |
| 07-14 20:08 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3724999988 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 08:58 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.341 | $201.19 |
| 07-11 15:11 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 19:19 | Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4732004709 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 17:12 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 07-09 17:09 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | SELL | 0.65253 | $652.53 |
| 07-09 17:07 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.739999999 | $166.06 |
| 07-09 16:49 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5949999992 | $150.00 |