PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf96f03ba1d71026856050D3B6a92Ad9A13aa1f5C-1768251706052

0xf96f03ba1d71026856050d3b6a92ad9a13aa1f5c

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$141.9k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.2200.065$419.95$1.0k
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.2770.545$393.20+$193.20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.4640.875$358.01+$168.01
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.4600.805$350.09+$150.09
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.3700.315$323.71$56.79
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? · Anthropic0.6800.910$248.91+$62.91
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · No0.2380.475$123.49+$61.59
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$100.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$250.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Up0.5210.000$0.00$25.65
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.3720.000$0.00$100.00
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$35.70
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$200.00
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.5260.000$0.00$298.25
Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.3870.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 14:08Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.1009630953$100.00
07-16 17:16Will France win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.5$143.66
07-16 17:15France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.6499999991$150.00
07-16 09:59Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4199999992$250.00
07-16 09:59Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5799999977$250.00
07-15 10:24Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5819999946$100.00
07-14 22:06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5819999997$400.00
07-14 20:08France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3724999988$100.00
07-13 08:58Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.341$201.19
07-11 15:11Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6199999999$100.00
07-09 19:19Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4732004709$100.00
07-09 17:12Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?BUY0.1099999982$50.00
07-09 17:09Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?SELL0.65253$652.53
07-09 17:07Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.739999999$166.06
07-09 16:49Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.5949999992$150.00