PolyBot

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Traders

0xef97d61b2f6fefcb37d566d11e7dc110a150ab2c

0xef97d61b2f6fefcb37d566d11e7dc110a150ab2c

Realised P&L
$568.08
Volume
$171.7k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$104.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? · No0.9860.992$19.8k+$113.18
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.9740.975$7.8k+$1.63
GTA VI released by November 30? · Yes0.9530.971$7.2k+$131.86
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9620.965$6.2k+$22.56
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9300.840$6.1k−$650.68
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.9390.947$5.5k+$47.68
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · No0.9030.935$5.3k+$180.88
Iran leadership change by October 31? · No0.9820.973$5.1k−$49.52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.9600.983$4.9k+$112.50
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.9800.968$4.8k−$60.06
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · No0.9520.948$4.7k−$20.65
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9500.945$4.7k−$25.00
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.9440.951$4.0k+$28.07
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9570.967$3.2k+$31.15
Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31? · No0.9850.985$3.0k+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 00:38Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.9619999997$1.2k
10-16 00:36Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.9619999997$1.9k
10-15 20:35US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.89$298.15
10-15 17:42Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.9609999848$49.95
10-15 16:23Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?BUY0.9982409174$2.6k
10-15 11:56Israel military action against Lebanon on October 15?BUY0.999$319.68
10-15 02:13Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9712490331$19.40
10-15 02:00Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9712490785$19.44
10-15 01:58Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9709999991$9.69
10-15 01:57Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9722490345$19.42
10-15 01:09Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9712004228$48.44
10-15 01:00Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9711905385$59.69
10-14 21:14Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.97125$19.42
10-14 18:06Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?BUY0.987$19.74
10-14 17:52Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31?BUY0.985$1.5k