PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6bd2671189761274417e66D1F6a834ecdBb695f6-1761995156221

0x04560ce4285463cfddd87a334618beb15399c88a

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$163.0k
Markets traded
528
Open portfolio
$45.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded528
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.6570.765$8.6k+$1.2k
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.7420.800$5.8k+$423.98
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.7190.790$4.8k+$436.05
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · No0.8700.885$3.9k+$67.32
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.9150.930$1.9k+$30.52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7000.710$1.7k+$23.09
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? · No0.2140.160$983.81−$332.94
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? · No0.9440.945$845.81+$0.24
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8390.745$837.22−$105.62
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.7880.815$761.33+$25.04
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by December 31? · Yes0.7840.950$738.43+$129.20
Trump meets with Putin by November 30? · Yes0.6720.735$698.71+$60.22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9090.915$695.40+$4.50
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.8130.765$684.88−$43.11
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9560.972$621.75+$10.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 06:12Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?BUY0.945$472.50
10-10 05:06Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?BUY0.943$278.68
10-09 12:53Trump meets with Putin by December 31?SELL0.81$4.05
10-09 12:52Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.8$4.00
10-09 12:38Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.98$49.00
10-09 12:18Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.91$91.00
10-09 10:55Trump meets with Putin by December 31?SELL0.81$162.00
10-09 10:55Trump meets with Putin by December 31?SELL0.81$4.05
10-09 10:54Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.8$4.00
10-09 09:02Trump meets with Putin by December 31?SELL0.81$4.05
10-09 09:02Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.8$4.00
10-08 13:10Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.965$96.50
10-08 13:04Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.95$28.50
10-08 08:58Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.94$178.18
10-08 07:21Iran leadership change by October 31?BUY0.983$29.49