0x6bd2671189761274417e66D1F6a834ecdBb695f6-1761995156221
0x04560ce4285463cfddd87a334618beb15399c88a
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $163.0k
- Markets traded
- 528
- Open portfolio
- $45.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded528
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$322.41at 0.917Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
- +$239.26at 0.959Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
- +$237.23at 0.908Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?
- +$172.27at 0.936Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?
- +$139.45at 0.919US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 06:12 | Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.945 | $472.50 |
| 10-10 05:06 | Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.943 | $278.68 |
| 10-09 12:53 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 10-09 12:52 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-09 12:38 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 10-09 12:18 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $91.00 |
| 10-09 10:55 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $162.00 |
| 10-09 10:55 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 10-09 10:54 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-09 09:02 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 10-09 09:02 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-08 13:10 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $96.50 |
| 10-08 13:04 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $28.50 |
| 10-08 08:58 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $178.18 |
| 10-08 07:21 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | BUY | 0.983 | $29.49 |