PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-01
Resolves by
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2026-07-31&view=change&companies=company-3e197763-4ff8-4d8c-bd1f-cc2792937757%2Ccompany-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Anthropic. Currently 0.67. up 0.17 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.50 to 0.81. 81 points.

Order book

Not connected

Anthropic

Live
Anthropic asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.68100100
0.6950150
0.7150200
0.75116316
0.766322
0.77161483
0.83120603
0.95120723
0.968731
0.978501,581
0.982501,831
0.9910,76712,598

Spread0.03Mid0.67

Anthropic bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.652525
0.62254279
0.5919298
0.5822320
0.5716336
0.50110446
0.0890536
0.048543
0.03350893
0.021,8502,743
0.01110,769113,512

OpenAI

Live
OpenAI asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.352525
0.38254279
0.4119298
0.4222320
0.4316336
0.50110446
0.9290536
0.968543
0.97350893
0.981,8502,743
0.99110,769113,512

Spread0.03Mid0.33

OpenAI bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.32100100
0.3150150
0.2950200
0.25116316
0.246322
0.23161483
0.17120603
0.05120723
0.048731
0.038501,581
0.022501,831
0.0110,76712,598

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
BigsomethingAnthropic646.09
0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b97-1761944125351Anthropic524.04
ArmageddonRewardsBillyAnthropic160.71
System-Error404Anthropic136.89
Mr.Frog🐸Anthropic100
FirkantbukserAnthropic26.67
tokeniumAnthropic23.28
QuessTea007Anthropic22.33
RedeemmAnthropic20.27
0x5e6aCbBC8fcdF7c55b3846846be94Ab209D8a294-1768121776806Anthropic13.51
TryNewThingsAnthropic6.1
BlyaaaatAnthropic4.55
WartlockAnthropic2.9
clazzy1OpenAI500
LornaPredictsOpenAI233.8
BenjaminNetanyahoooOpenAI179.99
AJSVOpenAI125.83
day77OpenAI125
0xfec464f25Ce66AaEb9Bd4Ecb94b7184520bCCFc8-1741783184737OpenAI101.81
ansatzOpenAI100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:51:32BUYAnthropic0.6696248276145$97.10
02:46:44BUYAnthropic0.6635$23.10
18:09:41BUYAnthropic0.65999992965$3.00
17:55:12BUYOpenAI0.345$1.70
11:46:09BUYAnthropic0.7527$20.00
09:10:48BUYAnthropic0.68999995863$2.00
08:47:12BUYAnthropic0.6394307692130$83.13
06:56:06BUYAnthropic0.62118$73.22
06:55:35BUYAnthropic0.6125$15.25
05:56:35BUYAnthropic0.60999997863$2.00
04:50:47BUYOpenAI0.43999980642$1.00
02:40:35BUYAnthropic0.5710$5.70
02:40:14BUYAnthropic0.56579160$90.53
00:16:53SELLOpenAI0.439452160539$17.09
00:16:53SELLOpenAI0.444$1.59
00:16:50SELLOpenAI0.447834293625$279.99
18:44:23BUYOpenAI0.355$1.75
11:05:53BUYOpenAI0.279999985436$10.00
10:30:29BUYOpenAI0.28125$35.00
07:17:26BUYOpenAI0.257142843939$10.00
07:17:23BUYAnthropic0.77100$77.00
16:36:17SELLAnthropic0.7420$14.80
15:39:41SELLOpenAI0.197$1.29
15:39:15SELLOpenAI0.1926$4.94
15:38:29SELLOpenAI0.257$1.70