Redeemm
0x35a093addfdebaa5578696b46b8faa6881952bab
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $97.7k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $479.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? · Yes | 0.722 | 0.855 | $265.50 | +$41.45 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.120 | 0.115 | $106.14 | −$4.61 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.880 | $69.52 | +$24.49 |
| Stripe vs Databricks - greater valuation growth September 2026 · Databricks | 0.551 | 0.285 | $29.63 | −$27.67 |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.131 | 0.053 | $8.95 | −$13.18 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.002 | $0.04 | −$4.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$698.84at 0.463Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$670.51at 0.180Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$492.07at 0.173Will Anthropic have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?
- +$403.67at 0.711Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?
- +$327.74at 0.500Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 00:07 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | BUY | 0.73 | $95.78 |
| 09-25 14:33 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 08:32 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | BUY | 0.74 | $16.16 |
| 09-25 07:43 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.14 | $84.22 |
| 09-25 04:12 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | BUY | 0.72 | $16.56 |
| 09-25 00:50 | Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September? | BUY | 0.71 | $94.55 |
| 09-24 09:40 | Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $6.74 |
| 09-24 09:12 | Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $6.72 |
| 09-24 06:58 | Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 09-24 06:57 | Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $21.50 |
| 09-24 06:51 | Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.128 | $1.10 |
| 09-24 06:47 | Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.129 | $2.17 |
| 09-24 06:46 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0100354776 | $1.92 |
| 09-24 06:38 | Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.40 |
| 09-24 03:52 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $5.24 |