day77
0x126d8007c5facabe83dc4dc32e11f6d47f8ef863
- Realised P&L
- $-312.20
- Volume
- $161.6k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $606.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$560.41at 0.410Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$306.81at 0.227Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8.25B by July 31?
- +$201.71at 0.600Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by July 31?
- +$101.90at 0.503Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7.25B by July 31?
- +$75.62at 0.290Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $92.5B by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 14:12 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.5404520135 | $30.00 |
| 10-29 14:11 | Bulls vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.8473984823 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 14:10 | Magic vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.6599999991 | $30.00 |
| 10-29 14:09 | Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 14:07 | Cavaliers vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 10:49 | Jumper listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.4599999951 | $30.00 |
| 10-27 10:47 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo join the Saudi Pro League next? | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $22.00 |
| 10-17 10:55 | Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $20.00 |
| 10-17 10:46 | Will Kylian Mbappé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.6799999969 | $35.00 |
| 10-17 10:46 | Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.51999999 | $25.00 |
| 10-17 10:46 | Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.3796791233 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 10:43 | Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | BUY | 0.2832122078 | $25.00 |
| 10-17 10:31 | Will $ANSEM reach $0.6 before 2027? | SELL | 0.070883905 | $34.39 |
| 09-17 10:15 | Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $550B by September 30? | BUY | 0.850717078 | $75.00 |
| 09-17 10:14 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $130B by September 30? | BUY | 0.809999997 | $40.00 |