PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

TryNewThings

0x46b19b4cbf00e4e5ce9fdc45f1f9a5c003fc428c

Realised P&L
$-597.75
Volume
$263.9k
Markets traded
1,860
Open portfolio
$545.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,860
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.895$31.59+$1.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? · No0.9090.933$30.79+$0.79
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? · No0.9881.000$30.35+$0.35
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2? · No0.9981.000$30.04+$0.04
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · No0.9600.947$29.58$0.42
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August? · No0.8760.895$22.37+$0.47
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.935$19.89$0.11
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1400.355$15.97+$9.67
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.5700.615$12.95+$0.95
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9300.935$12.06+$0.06
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9700.975$12.06+$0.06
Trump out as President by August 31? · No0.9910.991$11.99$0.01
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · No0.9480.940$11.89$0.11
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · No0.9970.981$11.81$0.19
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · No0.9290.938$11.11+$0.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:51Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?BUY0.7299999679$5.00
08-03 03:21Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.6899999917$5.00
08-02 23:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?SELL0.92$2.79
08-02 22:22Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.42$5.46
08-02 21:48US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.1099999146$1.12
08-02 19:51Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.98$9.02
08-02 17:07ECB rate cut in 2026?BUY0.92$9.00
08-02 04:56Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.7199998618$5.00
08-02 04:10Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9869998925$9.00
08-02 03:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.55$9.27
08-02 03:03Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?SELL0.54$9.00
08-02 03:00Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?BUY0.539999994$9.00
08-02 02:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.23$5.35
08-02 02:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5340659334$9.00
08-02 02:19Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.8599998762$5.00