0x5e6aCbBC8fcdF7c55b3846846be94Ab209D8a294-1768121776806
0x5e6acbbc8fcdf7c55b3846846be94ab209d8a294
- Realised P&L
- $-79.47
- Volume
- $66.3k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $83.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.12at 0.320Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$94.61at 0.517Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$81.72at 0.340Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$60.46at 0.015Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$58.25at 0.632Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 19:41 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 08:07 | Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 08:05 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 08:04 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 08:02 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $100.00 |
| 08-26 15:11 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.038 | $15.20 |
| 08-01 13:57 | Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 13:50 | Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026 | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 13:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6799999935 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 13:39 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 13:35 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.04 |
| 07-21 14:04 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 14:00 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.799883377 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 13:59 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4889999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 20:53 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.875 | $100.00 |