0x5e6aCbBC8fcdF7c55b3846846be94Ab209D8a294-1768121776806
0x5e6acbbc8fcdf7c55b3846846be94ab209d8a294
- Realised P&L
- $-147.95
- Volume
- $65.4k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $174.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.025 | $69.79 | −$30.20 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.680 | 0.355 | $52.21 | −$47.79 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.040 | $15.80 | +$5.80 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.135 | $12.27 | +$2.27 |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.790 | $9.75 | −$0.25 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026 · Anthropic | 0.740 | 0.665 | $8.99 | −$1.01 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.125 | $3.91 | −$6.09 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.033 | $1.12 | −$8.88 |
| Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-22? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.86 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.489 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.00at 0.320Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$85.83at 0.334Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
- +$68.35at 0.015Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$58.25at 0.632Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
- +$46.91at 0.810Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 13:57 | Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 13:50 | Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026 | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 13:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6799999935 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 13:39 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 13:35 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.04 |
| 07-21 14:04 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 14:00 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.799883377 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 13:59 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4889999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 20:53 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.875 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 20:50 | Will France win the World Cup? | SELL | 0.0021700044 | $0.64 |
| 07-09 19:40 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 07:14 | Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 07-08 07:14 | Will France win the World Cup? | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $100.00 |
| 07-08 07:13 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $200.00 |
| 07-08 07:08 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |