PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

System-Error404

0x172dd121e13fe79741fd519ddcf72ad157e0f864

Realised P&L
$-5.7k
Volume
$33.4k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$606.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-17.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · No0.5200.865$143.06+$57.06
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · Yes0.5030.652$129.70+$29.70
Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3700.385$104.05+$4.05
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? · Yes0.4110.375$91.32$8.68
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? · Yes0.7050.690$87.75$1.92
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.3100.185$31.10$20.95
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes0.3700.275$13.72$4.74
Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.3040.018$5.76$94.24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3860.000$0.00$222.88
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August? · Yes0.7230.000$0.00$100.00
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$100.00
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes0.4480.000$0.00$100.00
Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes0.3570.000$0.00$117.38
Trump approval Up or Down this week? · Down0.5810.000$0.00$100.00
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? · Yes0.8440.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 12:56U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?BUY0.5199999983$86.00
09-05 12:51Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$50.00
08-31 14:00US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?SELL0.001$0.16
08-14 08:27Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?BUY0.3096486336$52.05
08-12 09:38Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2$55.16
08-08 15:37Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2314092439$63.82
08-07 09:41Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.369999998$100.00
08-07 08:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.88$169.22
08-03 08:27Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?BUY0.369999994$18.46
08-03 08:26Trump approval Up or Down this week?BUY0.5810810771$100.00
08-03 08:18Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?SELL0.943$120.89
08-02 11:00US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?BUY0.489999997$76.20
08-02 10:57Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?SELL0.905641166$76.12
08-01 15:54Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?BUY0.7051360703$89.68
08-01 15:53Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?BUY0.649999999$100.00