System-Error404
0x172dd121e13fe79741fd519ddcf72ad157e0f864
- Realised P&L
- $-5.7k
- Volume
- $33.4k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $606.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.537Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$366.44at 0.633Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
- +$215.28at 0.736Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$125.53at 0.617Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$115.24at 0.637Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 12:56 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $86.00 |
| 09-05 12:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 08-31 14:00 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.16 |
| 08-14 08:27 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.3096486336 | $52.05 |
| 08-12 09:38 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $55.16 |
| 08-08 15:37 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2314092439 | $63.82 |
| 08-07 09:41 | Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.369999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-07 08:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $169.22 |
| 08-03 08:27 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.369999994 | $18.46 |
| 08-03 08:26 | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | BUY | 0.5810810771 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 08:18 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | SELL | 0.943 | $120.89 |
| 08-02 11:00 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | BUY | 0.489999997 | $76.20 |
| 08-02 10:57 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | SELL | 0.905641166 | $76.12 |
| 08-01 15:54 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | BUY | 0.7051360703 | $89.68 |
| 08-01 15:53 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August? | BUY | 0.649999999 | $100.00 |