PolyBot

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Traders

Bigsomething

0x318366cb3fe18323f28b294e8f7d987a91a1c5eb

Realised P&L
$77.62
Volume
$120.6k
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$393.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be less than 1 hour? · No0.7400.845$293.21+$36.43
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours? · No0.7440.870$60.90+$8.84
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026? · No0.4100.675$39.83+$15.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 13:30Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours?BUY0.78$39.78
10-03 13:10Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be less than 1 hour?BUY0.74$256.77
10-02 06:30Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours?BUY0.62$11.78
10-02 03:15Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?BUY0.41$24.19
10-02 02:24Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours?BUY0.77$14.63
10-01 23:41Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?BUY0.93$17.67
10-01 23:41Will there be fewer than 1 ChatGPT outage in October 2026?BUY0.92$22.08
10-01 08:05Will more than 575,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?SELL0.9$62.64
10-01 05:28Will more than 575,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?SELL0.9$99.00
09-29 18:52Will Anthropic have the greatest valuation growth in September 2026?BUY0.9$118.80
09-28 23:34Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?SELL0.9817859951$144.83
09-28 23:34Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?SELL0.993$21.85
09-28 11:21Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?SELL0.98$14.70
09-28 11:18Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?SELL0.9803157895$18.63
09-28 11:18Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?SELL0.986$8.87