PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Firkantbukser

0x31b7d2495a41fc79a8914e6ca26b523851a05770

Realised P&L
$-4.66
Volume
$13.1k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$177.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.4990.795$31.88+$11.88
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3640.360$24.71$0.29
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.3550.325$22.86$2.14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7400.785$21.22+$1.22
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · No0.6220.620$19.93$0.07
Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026 · Anthropic0.7500.665$17.73$2.27
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · No0.6200.700$11.29+$1.29
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5800.535$9.22$0.78
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7400.675$9.12$0.88
Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026? · No0.1500.115$3.83$1.17
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2690.188$3.49$1.51
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0050.004$1.80$0.20
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$5.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.4400.000$0.00$10.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.5500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 22:49Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?SELL0.28$19.69
08-03 22:18Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026?BUY0.149999976$5.00
08-03 22:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.6799999989$25.00
08-03 22:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.6620553275$25.00
08-03 17:04Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.005$1.00
08-03 13:59Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.359999987$10.00
08-03 12:01Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?BUY0.6221686466$20.00
08-03 11:51Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.005$1.00
08-03 11:46Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026BUY0.75$20.00
08-03 09:56Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.3699999887$20.00
08-03 07:36Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?SELL0.97$14.99
08-02 21:39Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?SELL0.89$23.11
08-02 21:39Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.94$30.76
08-02 07:58US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5799999861$10.00
08-02 07:36Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.6470588197$10.00
Trader Firkantbukser · PolyBot