Firkantbukser
0x31b7d2495a41fc79a8914e6ca26b523851a05770
- Realised P&L
- $-4.66
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $177.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.99at 0.350U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$79.42at 0.532Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
- +$37.94at 0.767Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$24.53at 0.671Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$21.00at 0.300US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 22:49 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $19.69 |
| 08-03 22:18 | Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 22:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999989 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 22:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6620553275 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 17:04 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 13:59 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 12:01 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BUY | 0.6221686466 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 11:51 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 11:46 | Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026 | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 09:56 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3699999887 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 07:36 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.97 | $14.99 |
| 08-02 21:39 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SELL | 0.89 | $23.11 |
| 08-02 21:39 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $30.76 |
| 08-02 07:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 07:36 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.6470588197 | $10.00 |