PolyBot

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Traders

ansatz

0x5fa44ddbefd7c2962719dfbe14b9f164104dcd4e

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$151.9k
Markets traded
396
Open portfolio
$17.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded396
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5001.000$1.8k+$922.58
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.5850.745$744.99+$160.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7540.835$507.68+$48.95
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8150.855$410.39+$19.30
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.8400.993$397.20+$61.20
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9630.972$388.64+$3.40
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.9200.945$378.00+$10.00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9000.935$374.00+$14.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.8800.935$373.98+$22.00
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.8780.925$370.15+$18.95
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7420.915$366.15+$69.23
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8250.895$358.00+$28.00
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.7680.870$348.00+$40.66
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.7680.840$335.80+$28.51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8240.840$335.78+$6.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 23:15Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?SELL0.004$1.20
07-23 11:34Will Intel say "Lab" during earnings call?SELL0.11$0.61
07-22 22:07Will "Actually" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?BUY0.998$91.28
07-22 22:06Will "Car" or "Vehicle" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?BUY0.99$73.13
07-22 21:19Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?BUY0.999$149.85
07-22 21:14Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?BUY0.999$163.84
07-22 21:14Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?BUY0.999$499.50
07-22 20:37Will "Trump" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?BUY0.99$87.98
07-22 20:34Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?BUY0.999$2.0k
07-22 20:14Will "Actually" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?BUY0.999$52.98
07-22 20:14Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?BUY0.999$66.85
07-22 20:14Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?BUY0.999$68.86
07-22 20:13Will "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?BUY0.999$49.95
07-22 20:12Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?BUY0.999$63.94
07-22 20:12Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?BUY0.999$47.95