ansatz
0x5fa44ddbefd7c2962719dfbe14b9f164104dcd4e
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $151.9k
- Markets traded
- 396
- Open portfolio
- $17.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded396
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.145Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$541.74at 0.386Mamdani team sweeps primaries?
- +$297.79at 0.510Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$135.00at 0.550US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
- +$117.20at 0.707Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:15 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.20 |
| 07-23 11:34 | Will Intel say "Lab" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.61 |
| 07-22 22:07 | Will "Actually" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.998 | $91.28 |
| 07-22 22:06 | Will "Car" or "Vehicle" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.99 | $73.13 |
| 07-22 21:19 | Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 07-22 21:14 | Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.999 | $163.84 |
| 07-22 21:14 | Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 07-22 20:37 | Will "Trump" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.99 | $87.98 |
| 07-22 20:34 | Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 07-22 20:14 | Will "Actually" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.98 |
| 07-22 20:14 | Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.999 | $66.85 |
| 07-22 20:14 | Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.999 | $68.86 |
| 07-22 20:13 | Will "Problem" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 07-22 20:12 | Will "Different" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.999 | $63.94 |
| 07-22 20:12 | Will "Money" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.95 |